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华利集团(300979):2025期待阿迪达斯业务增量

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [7]. Core Views - The company is expected to see revenue growth driven by the collaboration with Adidas, which began mass production in September 2024 [2]. - The company reported a revenue of 24.01 billion with a year-on-year increase of 19.4% for 2024, and a net profit of 3.84 billion, up 20.0% [1]. - The company has diversified its client base, primarily consisting of publicly listed companies, which supports stable growth [3]. - New factories in Vietnam and Indonesia are expected to enhance production capacity and mitigate geopolitical risks [2]. Financial Performance - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are adjusted to 24.00 billion, 26.89 billion, and 30.92 billion respectively, with corresponding net profits of 3.84 billion, 4.39 billion, and 5.05 billion [5]. - The company sold 223 million pairs of sports shoes in 2024, reflecting a 17.5% increase, with an average price of 107.65 yuan per pair, up 1.5% [1]. - The overall gross margin is expected to remain stable despite the initial impact of new factory ramp-ups [4]. Financial Data and Valuation - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 3.29 yuan, 3.76 yuan, and 4.33 yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [5]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is forecasted to be 21x, 18x, and 16x for the same years [5]. - The company’s total assets are projected to grow from 22.07 billion in 2024 to 27.59 billion by 2026 [13].