食品饮料调味品专题：价格探底，价值重估

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended (Maintain)" [1] Core Insights - The report indicates that the condiment sector is transitioning from a growth phase driven by price increases and cost resonance to a focus on quality-price ratio competition due to weakened restaurant demand and increased consumer price sensitivity [3][4][5] - The report highlights that the condiment industry has experienced a significant valuation drop, with current valuations around 25.3x, a 52% decrease from the 2016-2023 average, suggesting that negative factors have largely been cleared [3][40] - The report emphasizes the importance of head companies maintaining their advantages and the cultivation of new consumption scenarios to enhance demand recovery [44][46] Summary by Sections I. Changes and Constants in the Condiment Sector - Pre-pandemic, the sector's growth was primarily driven by price increases and cost resonance, with the restaurant channel accounting for 45% of the condiment industry's share [11][24] - Post-pandemic, the capacity of the restaurant sector has contracted, leading to a shift in demand towards household consumption, which is expected to result in a change in industry growth dynamics [25][27] - Consumer sensitivity to prices has increased, with a preference for lower-priced products that do not compromise on quality [27][28] II. Investment Recommendations - The report concludes that the sector has completed its bottoming process, with a focus on the recovery of the restaurant sector and cost catalysts as potential drivers for future growth [40][41] - The report suggests that the current price pressure in the industry has likely bottomed out, with a focus on quality-price ratio and upgraded products as key differentiation factors [46] - Recommended companies include leading brands with national presence such as Zhongju Gaoxin and Haitian Flavoring, as well as companies like Qianhe Flavoring and Tianwei Food that are adapting to new market conditions [46][47]