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金斯瑞生物科技(01548):利润端扭亏为盈且有望持续

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8]. Core Views - The company has turned a profit in 2024, with a net profit of 3billion,comparedtoalossof3 billion, compared to a loss of 95 million in 2023, primarily due to a one-time gain from the deconsolidation of Legend Biotech, amounting to approximately 3.2billion[1][4].Thecompanyisexpectedtocontinueitsprofitabilityinto2025,withprojectedrevenuegrowthacrossitsbusinesssegments[3].SummarybySectionsFinancialPerformanceIn2024,thecompanyachievedrevenueof3.2 billion [1][4]. - The company is expected to continue its profitability into 2025, with projected revenue growth across its business segments [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 594.49 million, a 6.1% increase year-over-year, and an adjusted net profit of 60million,reflectinga2.960 million, reflecting a 2.9% increase year-over-year [1]. - The life sciences segment saw revenue and adjusted operating profit increase by 10.2% and 15.5%, respectively, reaching 455 million and 90million[2].TheCDMOsegmentexperiencedarevenuedeclineof13.290 million [2]. - The CDMO segment experienced a revenue decline of 13.2% to 95 million, with an adjusted operating loss of 43million,althoughsignsofrecoveryarenotedinthesecondhalfoftheyear[2].Thesyntheticbiologysegmentreporteda24.643 million, although signs of recovery are noted in the second half of the year [2]. - The synthetic biology segment reported a 24.6% increase in revenue to 54 million, with stable adjusted operating profit [2]. Future Projections - For 2025, the company anticipates continued profitability, with life sciences revenue growth projected at 10-15% and CDMO revenue growth of 15-20% [3]. - The synthetic biology segment is expected to grow by 20-25% in RMB terms, with an adjusted gross margin improvement to approximately 45% [3]. Valuation and Estimates - The company’s estimated net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 176million,176 million, 264 million, and 501million,respectively,withcorrespondingEPSof501 million, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.08, 0.12,and0.12, and 0.24 [5][23]. - The report assigns a target market capitalization of HKD 42.06 billion, with a target price of HKD 19.59, reflecting adjustments based on comparable company valuations [5][14].