Desay SV(SZ:002920) Orient Securities·2025-03-15 13:29Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 168.34 CNY, based on a projected EPS of 4.43, 5.43, and 6.67 CNY for 2025-2027 [2][6]. Core Views - The company is expected to experience steady growth in its smart cockpit and intelligent driving businesses, driven by new customers and projects [1][9]. - The revenue forecast for 2025-2027 shows a growth trajectory with expected revenues of 33.73 billion CNY in 2025, 40.99 billion CNY in 2026, and 49.03 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22.1%, 21.5%, and 19.6% respectively [4][12]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue: The company reported a revenue of 21.91 billion CNY in 2023, with a year-on-year growth of 46.7%. The revenue is projected to grow to 27.62 billion CNY in 2024, 33.73 billion CNY in 2025, and continue to increase through 2027 [4][12]. - Net Profit: The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to rise from 1.55 billion CNY in 2023 to 3.70 billion CNY in 2027, with a growth rate of 30.6% in 2023 and maintaining around 22.6% growth in subsequent years [4][12]. - EPS: The earnings per share are projected to increase from 2.79 CNY in 2023 to 6.67 CNY in 2027, indicating a strong upward trend in profitability [4][12]. - Profit Margins: The gross margin is expected to stabilize around 19.9% over the forecast period, while the net margin is projected to improve slightly from 7.1% in 2023 to 7.6% in 2027 [4][12]. Business Segment Insights - Smart Cockpit: The smart cockpit business is anticipated to generate 182.30 billion CNY in revenue in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 15.4%. The company has secured new project orders exceeding 16 billion CNY annually [9][12]. - Intelligent Driving: The intelligent driving segment is projected to achieve revenues of 73.14 billion CNY in 2024, reflecting a significant growth of 63.1%. The gross margin for this segment is expected to improve by 4.0 percentage points [9][12].