BeiGene(SH:688235) Tianfeng Securities·2025-03-16 06:22Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve positive GAAP operating profit by 2025, with several early-stage molecules in the solid tumor field progressing towards proof of concept [1] - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at $3.81 billion, representing a 55% year-over-year increase, while net loss is expected to narrow to $645 million, a 27% improvement compared to the previous year [1][13] - The company has achieved its first annual non-GAAP operating profit, with adjusted operating profits of $45.36 million and $78.60 million for the full year and Q4 of 2024, respectively [1][2] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported GAAP and non-GAAP R&D expenses of $1.95 billion and $1.67 billion, respectively, with R&D expense ratios decreasing by 21 percentage points and 20 percentage points year-over-year [2] - Sales and management expenses for 2024 were $1.83 billion and $1.55 billion, with corresponding expense ratios of 48% and 41%, showing a year-over-year decrease of 13 percentage points and 12 percentage points [2] - For Q4 2024, R&D expenses were $542 million, with an R&D expense ratio of 48%, down 30 percentage points year-over-year [3] Product Performance - The core product, Zebrutinib, saw global sales of $2.64 billion in 2024, a 105% increase year-over-year, with Q4 sales reaching $828 million, also up 100% year-over-year [4] - In the U.S., Zebrutinib's sales for Q4 and the full year were $616 million and $2 billion, respectively, reflecting year-over-year growth of 97% and 106% [4] - The company’s other product, Tislelizumab, generated total revenue of $154 million and $621 million for Q4 and the full year of 2024, marking a 20% and 16% increase year-over-year [5][23] Clinical Development - The development plans for BGB-16673 and Sonrotoclax are progressing steadily, with Phase III clinical trials expected to start in 2025 [6] - Tislelizumab has been included in the 2024 medical insurance directory for two new indications, expanding its global footprint [5] Revenue Forecast - Revenue forecasts for 2024-2026 have been adjusted upwards to $27.21 billion, $37.52 billion, and $45.02 billion, respectively, reflecting the company's strong growth trajectory [7] - The projected net profit for 2025-2026 has been revised to $703 million and $4.01 billion, respectively [7]