Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 5.229 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.1%, with a net profit of 840 million yuan, up 16% year-on-year [5] - The company continues to maintain high profitability levels despite a decline in average selling prices due to industry oversupply [5] - The company is actively expanding its production capacity and exploring international development strategies, including establishing production bases in Southeast Asia and Europe [5] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Forecast: - 2023A: 4.391 billion yuan - 2024A: 5.229 billion yuan - 2025E: 7.226 billion yuan - 2026E: 9.205 billion yuan - 2027E: 11.380 billion yuan - Revenue Growth Rate: - 2023A: -8.18% - 2024A: 19.10% - 2025E: 38.18% - 2026E: 27.39% - 2027E: 23.62% [4][5] - Net Profit Forecast: - 2023A: 723 million yuan - 2024A: 838 million yuan - 2025E: 1.050 billion yuan - 2026E: 1.401 billion yuan - 2027E: 1.755 billion yuan - Net Profit Growth Rate: - 2023A: -43.94% - 2024A: 15.97% - 2025E: 25.27% - 2026E: 33.41% - 2027E: 25.26% [4][5] Market Position and Strategy - The company has achieved a sales volume of 216,500 tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 54%, with a high capacity utilization rate driven by a differentiated product strategy [5] - The company is focusing on R&D investments, with R&D expenses increasing to 3.4% of revenue, aiming to develop high-performance artificial graphite anode materials [5] - The company is also adjusting its production plans in response to market conditions, including a new project in Shanxi Province with an annual capacity of 200,000 tons of lithium-ion battery anode materials [5]
尚太科技(001301):2024年报略超预期,盈利持续领先