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五矿资源(01208):利润显著提升,锌铜产量稳步增长
01208MMG(01208) 海通国际证券·2025-03-17 08:04

Investment Rating - The report maintains an OUTPERFORM rating for the company [2][5] Core Insights - The company has shown significant profit improvement, with a net profit increase of 200% year-on-year in 2024, reaching US366million[3][14]Theproductionofcopperandzinchassteadilyincreased,withcopperproductionat400,000tonsin2024,up15366 million [3][14] - The production of copper and zinc has steadily increased, with copper production at 400,000 tons in 2024, up 15% year-on-year, and zinc production at 220,000 tons, up 8% year-on-year [3][14] - The company is advancing major projects, including the successful development of Chalcobamba and the expansion of Kinsevere, which is expected to ramp up production in 2025 [15][17] - The company plans to acquire Brazilian Nickel for up to US500 million, which is expected to enhance its nickel production capacity significantly by 2030 [17] Financial Performance - Revenue for 2024 was US4.479billion,a34.479 billion, a 3% increase year-on-year, with EBITDA rising by 40% to US2.049 billion [3][14] - The company expects EPS for 2025-2027 to be US0.04,US0.04, US0.05, and US0.05respectively,translatingtoHK0.05 respectively, translating to HK0.31, HK0.39,andHK0.39, and HK0.39 based on the current exchange rate [5][18] - The target price is set at HK4.65,reflectinga15xPEvaluationbasedonthe2025EPS[5][18]ProductionGuidanceFor2025,thecompanyanticipatescopperproductionof470,000to520,000tons,withspecificcontributionsfromLasBambas,Khoemacau,andKinsevere[9][16]Zincproductionisexpectedtobebetween310,000and340,000tons[9][16]CapitalExpenditureThecompanyprojectscapitalexpendituresofUS4.65, reflecting a 15x PE valuation based on the 2025 EPS [5][18] Production Guidance - For 2025, the company anticipates copper production of 470,000 to 520,000 tons, with specific contributions from Las Bambas, Khoemacau, and Kinsevere [9][16] - Zinc production is expected to be between 310,000 and 340,000 tons [9][16] Capital Expenditure - The company projects capital expenditures of US1.2 billion to US$1.3 billion for 2025, with significant allocations for Las Bambas, Khoemacau, and Kinsevere [16][17]