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德昌电机控股(00179):首次覆盖报告:全球化电机企业探索人型机器人应用

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [2] Core Insights - The company, 德昌电机控股, is actively exploring applications for humanoid robots and aims to leverage its expertise in drive systems to tap into high-growth markets [8] - The automotive sector is a key growth area, with revenue from automotive products expected to grow at a rate of 10% annually over the next three fiscal years [9] - The company forecasts revenue growth from 3.814billionin2024to3.814 billion in 2024 to 4.939 billion in 2027, with net profit increasing from 229millionto229 million to 396 million during the same period [7][11] Financial Performance and Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 3.647billion2024:3.647 billion - 2024: 3.815 billion (YoY growth of 6%) - 2025: 4.135billion(YoYgrowthof84.135 billion (YoY growth of 8%) - 2026: 4.519 billion (YoY growth of 9%) - 2027: 4.939billion(YoYgrowthof94.939 billion (YoY growth of 9%) [7] - Net profit estimates are: - 2023: 158 million - 2024: 229million(YoYgrowthof45229 million (YoY growth of 45%) - 2025: 295 million (YoY growth of 29%) - 2026: 352million(YoYgrowthof19352 million (YoY growth of 19%) - 2027: 396 million (YoY growth of 12%) [7] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to increase from 0.17in2023to0.17 in 2023 to 0.42 in 2027 [7] Market Performance - The automotive product revenue for the fiscal year 2024 is expected to reach $3.210 billion, reflecting a 10.2% increase [11] - The company has reported a 10% revenue growth in the Asia-Pacific region for automotive products, outperforming the regional light vehicle production growth of 8% [9] - In the Americas, automotive product revenue is projected to grow by 9%, exceeding the estimated 6% increase in vehicle production [9] Valuation - The company is assigned a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio range of 8 to 10 times for 2025, leading to a fair value range of HKD 19.69 to HKD 24.61 [8]