JZYY(SH:600750) HTSC·2025-03-20 02:10Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 4.435 billion RMB in 2024, a decrease of 3% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 10% year-on-year to 788 million RMB, indicating that the performance met expectations [1] - The OTC segment showed resilience with a revenue of 3.27 billion RMB in 2024, reflecting a 7% year-on-year growth, driven by strong performance in specific products [2] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 755 million RMB, representing 95.77% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024, highlighting its commitment to shareholder returns [3] - The company has raised its operational targets for 2025, indicating confidence in achieving a compound annual growth rate of at least 12% for net profit from 2025 to 2027 [4] - The target price for the company is set at 28.53 RMB, based on a 20x PE ratio for 2025, reflecting a positive outlook for future earnings growth [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 4.435 billion RMB, with a net profit of 788 million RMB, and a non-recurring net profit of 749 million RMB, showing a year-on-year increase of 10% and 6% respectively [1] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 1.464 billion RMB, marking a 17% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 154 million RMB, up 30% year-on-year [1] Segment Analysis - The OTC segment's revenue for 2024 was 3.27 billion RMB, growing by 7% year-on-year, with significant contributions from gastrointestinal products and other key items [2] - The health consumer products segment faced a decline of 47% year-on-year, attributed to increased competition and restructuring efforts, but is expected to recover significantly in 2025 [2] - The prescription drug segment reported a revenue of 790 million RMB, down 3% year-on-year, but is anticipated to stabilize and grow in the medium to long term [2] Dividend Policy - The company plans to maintain a high dividend payout, with a cash dividend of 755 million RMB for 2024, reflecting a strong commitment to returning value to shareholders [3] Future Outlook - The company has set ambitious targets for 2025-2027, including a minimum return on capital of 15.42% and a compound annual growth rate for net profit of at least 12% [4] - The earnings forecast for 2025-2027 predicts net profits of 897 million RMB, 1.015 billion RMB, and 1.145 billion RMB respectively, indicating a growth trajectory of 14%, 13%, and 13% year-on-year [5]