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联影医疗(688271):全球化扩张与技术领先驱动业绩增长,首次覆盖给予买入评级
688271UIH(688271) 华兴证券·2025-03-20 11:19

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of RMB 194.39, indicating a potential upside of 54% from the current price of RMB 126.54 [1][6][26]. Core Insights - The company is positioned to benefit from a comprehensive product line in medical imaging, challenging the dominance of imported brands in the Chinese market. The product lines include CT, MR, XR, MI, and RT, with significant market shares in previously monopolized segments [6][20][40]. - The company is expected to experience a revenue CAGR of 14.2% from 2023 to 2026, driven by technological advancements and policy support, despite facing short-term impacts in 2024 [6][22][24]. - The overseas business has shown strong growth, with revenue reaching RMB 9.33 billion in the first half of 2024, a 29.9% increase year-on-year, indicating the company's expanding international influence [7][23]. - The report highlights the company's focus on R&D innovation, with significant investments leading to the launch of groundbreaking products, such as the world's first 5T whole-body clinical MR [24][25]. Financial Summary - The company's revenue is projected to grow from RMB 10.26 billion in 2024 to RMB 16.98 billion in 2026, with net profit expected to rise from RMB 1.26 billion to RMB 2.88 billion during the same period [8][22]. - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are RMB 1.52, RMB 2.62, and RMB 3.50, respectively, reflecting a positive growth trajectory [2][8]. Market Context - The Chinese medical imaging equipment market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 10.9% from 2019 to 2023, with the CT segment holding the largest market share at 32% in 2023 [29][30]. - The report emphasizes the increasing demand for high-end medical imaging equipment driven by an aging population and rising health awareness, which is expected to sustain market growth [33][34].