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耐世特(01316):获线控转向、后轮转向等多项新技术定点,北美盈利能力已在修复中
01316NEXTEER(01316) 海通证券·2025-03-20 11:40

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [2][6]. Core Insights - The company reported total revenue of 4.28billionin2024,ayearonyearincreaseof1.64.28 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.6%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 62 million, up 68% year-on-year [6]. - North America showed signs of profit recovery, with an EBITDA margin of 8.1%, an increase of 2.3 percentage points year-on-year, while the Asia-Pacific region's revenue grew by 10% [6]. - The company has secured multiple cutting-edge technology contracts, including steer-by-wire and rear-wheel steering systems, which are expected to enhance market expansion [6]. Financial Data and Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 4.48billion,4.48 billion, 4.76 billion, and 5.11billionrespectively,withyearonyeargrowthratesof4.75.11 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 4.7%, 6.2%, and 7.5% [7][9]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 147 million, 169million,and169 million, and 193 million, reflecting significant growth rates of 138.3%, 14.9%, and 14.0% respectively [9]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve from 10.5% in 2024 to 12.6% by 2027 [7]. Regional Performance - North America is projected to generate revenues of 2.24billionin2025,withamodestgrowthrateof22.24 billion in 2025, with a modest growth rate of 2% [7]. - The Asia-Pacific region is expected to see revenues rise to 1.50 billion in 2025, maintaining a robust growth rate of 12% [7]. - The Europe, Central Asia, and South America region is forecasted to have revenues of $732 million in 2025, with a slight growth of 2% [7]. Valuation and Price Target - The company is assigned a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 15-17x for 2025, leading to a fair value range of HKD 6.84 to HKD 7.75 [6][8]. - The price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is estimated at 1.0-1.2x for 2025, corresponding to a fair value range of HKD 13.92 to HKD 16.70 [6][8].