Investment Rating - The investment rating for Miniso (9896.HK) is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the report indicates a positive outlook based on performance metrics and future projections. Core Insights - Miniso achieved a revenue of 16.994 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.8%, with an adjusted net profit of 2.721 billion RMB, up 15.4% year-on-year, and an adjusted net profit margin of 16.0% [1][3] - The company has completed the acquisition of 29.4% of Yonghui Supermarket, which is expected to impact financial results starting from Q2 2025 [4][5] - The report highlights strong growth in both domestic and international markets, with a significant increase in overseas revenue, which accounted for 41.7% of brand revenue in 2024, up from 35.9% in 2023 [2][3] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, Miniso's gross margin reached 44.9%, an increase of 3.7 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to a higher proportion of overseas direct sales and increased contributions from high-margin products [3] - The total expenses for 2024 were 4.366 billion RMB, a 52% increase year-on-year, driven by a 100% increase in revenue from direct stores [3][6] - The company plans to distribute a final dividend of 740 million RMB, approximately 50% of the adjusted net profit for the second half of 2024 [1] Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at 21.174 billion RMB, 26.040 billion RMB, and 31.583 billion RMB, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 25%, 23%, and 21% [5][6] - The expected net profit for 2025 is 3.020 billion RMB, reflecting a 15% increase, with further growth anticipated in subsequent years [5][6] - The report anticipates that the acquisition of Yonghui will lead to synergies in brand development, supply chain upgrades, and product enhancement [5]
名创优品：2024年报点评：业绩符合预期，收购永辉事项25Q1完成交割-20250323