Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company has shown a significant recovery in profitability, with a net profit of 17.88 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 519.42% [6] - The company is expected to maintain its cost advantage in pig farming, with a projected average breeding cost of approximately 14 yuan/kg in 2024, decreasing to around 13 yuan/kg by the end of the year [6] - The company plans to increase its dividend distribution, proposing a cash dividend of 5.72 yuan per 10 shares, which would result in a total cash dividend of 7.588 billion yuan for 2024 [6] Financial Forecasts - The company's revenue is projected to be 133.54 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit of 14.42 billion yuan [5] - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 2.64 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.50 [5][9] - The company’s total assets are expected to reach 215.61 billion yuan by 2027, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 53.8% [9] Operational Insights - The company aims to enhance its slaughtering business, with a target utilization rate of over 60% by 2025, up from 43% in 2024 [6] - The company is actively expanding its overseas business, particularly in Southeast Asia, through partnerships to provide breeding technology and hardware support [8] - The company plans to invest 9 billion yuan in capital expenditures in 2025, focusing on pig house renovations and breeding platform development [8]
牧原股份:2024年年报点评:成本优势夯实盈利韧性,现金流有望持续改善-20250324