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钧达股份(002865):2024年年报点评:N型产品出货量行业领先,产能出海带来业绩增量
DrindaDrinda(SZ:002865) EBSCN·2025-03-25 06:15

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook despite current challenges [4][7]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 9.95 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 46.66% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -591 million yuan, down 172.47% year-on-year [1][2]. - The company's N-type battery shipments increased by 12.62% to 33.74 GW, ranking third globally, with N-type TOPCon battery shipments growing by 50.58% to 30.99 GW, accounting for over 90% of total shipments [2]. - The company is expanding its overseas market presence, with overseas sales increasing from 4.69% in 2023 to 23.85% in 2024, particularly in India, Turkey, and Europe [3]. - Continuous R&D investments have led to improvements in N-type technology, with a 0.5% increase in average mass production conversion efficiency and a 30% reduction in non-silicon costs [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 9.95 billion yuan, a significant decline from 18.66 billion yuan in 2023, with a net profit of -591 million yuan compared to a profit of 816 million yuan in 2023 [6][11]. - The gross margin fell to 0.7% in 2024 from 14.7% in 2023, reflecting the pressure on profitability due to declining battery prices [13]. Market Position - The company maintains a leading position in the N-type battery market, with a significant increase in shipments and a strong focus on overseas expansion [2][3]. - The report highlights the company's ability to control costs effectively, which is expected to support future profitability as new overseas production capacities come online [4]. Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 846 million yuan, 1.34 billion yuan, and 1.87 billion yuan in 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with a corresponding PE ratio of 15 for 2025 [6][4]. - The ongoing development of next-generation battery technologies, including TBC and perovskite tandem batteries, positions the company for long-term competitive advantages [4].