中远海特（600428）：深海科技政策赋能，定增落地运力扩张

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][4][6] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from policy incentives related to deep-sea technology and internal growth from a recent capital increase project, which will enhance operational capacity and performance certainty for 2025 [4][9] - The capital increase project, approved in December 2024, aims to raise 3.5 billion RMB to lease 29 multi-purpose pulp ships and construct a 65,000-ton semi-submersible ship, which is projected to significantly boost net profit [9][6] Financial Summary - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 12,207 million RMB in 2022 to 20,806 million RMB by 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 12.7% [8][10] - The net profit is expected to increase from 821 million RMB in 2022 to 2,234 million RMB in 2026, reflecting a growth rate of 16.2% [8][10] - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.30 RMB in 2022 to 0.81 RMB in 2026, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios decreasing from 23.8 to 8.7 over the same period [8][10] - The EBITDA is anticipated to grow from 2,394 million RMB in 2022 to 4,273 million RMB in 2026, indicating a strong operational performance [8][10] Market Position and Opportunities - The government has identified deep-sea technology as a national strategic direction, which is expected to create significant demand for specialized shipping services, particularly in deep-sea resource exploration and renewable energy projects [9][4] - The company holds a unique position as the only shipping enterprise with operational experience in both Arctic and Antarctic routes, enhancing its competitive edge in the deep-sea logistics market [9][4]