Avary Holding(SZ:002938) Guohai Securities·2025-03-25 08:51Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Pengding Holdings (002938.SZ) as it is covered for the first time [1]. Core Insights - Pengding Holdings is a global leader in the PCB industry, with a comprehensive layout in consumer electronics, automotive, and server sectors [7]. - The global PCB market is expected to grow from $69.5 billion in 2023 to $90.4 billion by 2028, with a CAGR of approximately 5.4% [7][47]. - The trend towards edge AI is anticipated to drive both volume and price increases in the PCB segment, benefiting companies like Pengding Holdings [7]. - The company is actively expanding its capabilities in the automotive and server sectors, which are expected to provide a second growth curve [7]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Pengding Holdings has been deeply involved in the PCB industry for many years, providing a one-stop service platform for various PCB products [9]. - The company ranks as the largest PCB manufacturer globally according to Prismark, with a diverse product range including FPC, SMA, SLP, HDI, Mini LED, RPCB, and Rigid Flex [16][17]. Market Data - As of March 24, 2025, the current stock price is 37.05 CNY, with a market capitalization of approximately 85.9 billion CNY [5]. - The stock has shown a 54.6% increase over the past 12 months, outperforming the CSI 300 index [6]. Industry Trends - The global PCB market is projected to reach $90.4 billion by 2028, driven by demand in consumer electronics, automotive, and server applications [47][56]. - The automotive PCB market is expected to grow from $9.15 billion in 2023 to $11.52 billion by 2028, with a CAGR of 4.7% [110]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for Pengding Holdings are 35.14 billion CNY in 2024, 40.93 billion CNY in 2025, and 47.27 billion CNY in 2026, representing year-on-year growth rates of 9.6%, 16.5%, and 15.5% respectively [7]. - Net profit estimates for the same years are 3.62 billion CNY, 4.50 billion CNY, and 5.50 billion CNY, with growth rates of 10.2%, 24.3%, and 22.1% respectively [7]. Product and Client Base - The company serves a high-quality client base, including major players like Apple, Huawei, and Microsoft, with a significant portion of revenue derived from these relationships [17][108]. - The product structure is evolving, with increasing contributions from automotive and server applications, which are expected to rise from 0.9% in 2022 to 3.3% in the first half of 2024 [35]. R&D and Innovation - Pengding Holdings is increasing its R&D investment, with a focus on AI technologies and new product developments, reflected in a rising R&D expense ratio [40].