策略研究 | 证券研究报告 — 总量点评 2025 年 9 月 2 日 9 月金股组合 中银证券研究部 2025 年 9 月金股 9 月金股组合 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 策略研究 证券分析师：王君 (8610)66229061 jun.wang@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300519060003 证券分析师：徐沛东 (8621)20328702 peidong.xu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300518020001 8 月组合回顾 个股组合强于市场，工业富联月收益超 55%。8 月金股行业组合绝对收益 10.67%，表现强于市 场（基准为沪深 300）0.33pct；个股中，工业富联月收益超 55%，超额收益（相对于沪深 300） 达 45pct 以上。 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 个股组合 收益率 沪深300 顺丰控股 卫星化学 安集科技 恒瑞医药 佰仁医疗 北京人力 菲利华 工业富联 鹏鼎控股 合合信息 (%) 图表 1.上月"金股组合"总体表现及个股表现情况 资料来源： iFinD ，中银证 ...

从机构持仓角度来看，上述业绩超预期股中，二季度末获得社保基金持仓的有41只，其中7股获社保基 金持仓市值超10亿元，分别是三一重工（600031）、云铝股份（000807）、正泰电器（601877）、金诚 信（603979）、鹏鼎控股（002938）、西部超导、赤峰黄金（600988）。 人民财讯9月1日电，A股半年报披露收官，一批业绩超预期公司浮出水面。证券时报·数据宝统计，8月 以来发布的券商研报中，机构认为今年上半年或第二季度业绩超预期的股票有130只。 ...

记者丨倪雨晴 实习生苏梓丹 业绩和股价齐飞 编辑丨包芳鸣 AI浪潮下的算力竞赛，正在改写全球科技产业的节奏。大模型推理与训练需求急速膨胀，让AI算力一 跃成为基础设施中的"硬通货"。 在英伟达市值冲上4万亿美元之后，这场算力周期的红利，正沿着产业链层层释放。过去一年，从存 储、封装到通信连接，资本市场已经经历过数轮追逐。进入2025年，A股的英伟达产业链热度继续攀 升，AI服务器、光模块、液冷、高端PCB与高速连接等环节全面点燃，龙头公司半年报普遍超预期。 工业富联市值突破万亿，新易盛股价三年累计飙升逾28倍，胜宏科技股价今年以来涨幅超过500%，多 家公司纷纷交出亮眼成绩单。在英伟达转向AI基建企业的过程中，资本与产业共振效应进一步放大， 算力赛道已成为资本市场炙手可热的主线之一。 | 356.20 +1.25 +0.35% | | | | | | 新易盛 立即 300502 交易 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SZSE CNY 15:30:06 闭市 | | | | | | 通 融 / △ + | | 麦比 | 46.67% 委差 | 31 ...

记者丨 倪雨晴 实习生苏梓丹 编辑丨包芳鸣 在英伟达市值冲上4万亿美元之后，这场算力周期的红利，正沿着产业链层层释放。过去一 年，从存储、封装到通信连接，资本市场已经经历过数轮追逐。 进入2025年，A股的英伟达产 业链热度继续攀升，AI服务器、光模块、液冷、高端PCB与高速连接等环节全面点燃，龙头 公司半年报普遍超预期。 工业富联市值突破万亿， 新易盛股价三年累计飙升逾28倍 ， 胜宏科技股价今年以来涨幅超过 500% ，多家公司纷纷交出亮眼成绩单。在英伟达转向AI基建企业的过程中，资本与产业共振 效应进一步放大，算力赛道已成为资本市场炙手可热的主线之一。 AI浪潮下的算力竞赛，正在改写全球科技产业的节奏。 大模型推理与训练需求急速膨胀，让 AI算力一跃成为基础设施中的"硬通货"。 | SZSE CNY 15:30:06 闭市 | | | | | | 通 品 △ ○ 十 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 委比 | 46.67% 委差 | 316 | Wind ESG评级 | B | | 详情 | | 卖五 | 356.24 | 12 | ごせ | ...

Market Performance - The component sector increased by 2.69% on August 29, with Jianghai Co., Ltd. leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3857.93, up 0.37%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12696.15, up 0.99% [1] Top Gainers - Jianghai Co., Ltd. (002484) closed at 33.31, up 10.01% with a trading volume of 1.3678 million shares [1] - Xinsen Technology (002436) also rose by 10.01% to 21.00, with a trading volume of 2.5926 million shares [1] - Other notable gainers include: - Qiaohui Fushi (300852) up 9.16% to 39.55 [1] - Dongshan Precision (002384) up 8.34% to 66.02 [1] - Huhua Electric (002463) up 7.28% to 68.79 [1] Top Losers - Fangbang Co., Ltd. (688020) saw a decline of 9.16%, closing at 68.91 [2] - Huilun Crystal (300460) decreased by 7.54% to 10.54 [2] - Other significant declines include: - Zhongfu Circuit (300814) down 6.30% to 45.10 [2] - Zecheng Electronics (837821) down 5.72% to 34.29 [2] Capital Flow - The component sector experienced a net outflow of 748 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 198 million yuan [2][3] - Conversely, speculative funds recorded a net inflow of 945 million yuan [2][3] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Xinsen Technology (002436) had a net inflow of 5.71 billion yuan from institutional investors, while it faced a net outflow of 2.15 billion yuan from speculative funds [3] - Other stocks with notable capital flows include: - Shiyun Circuit (603920) with a net inflow of 3.05 billion yuan from institutional investors [3] - Huhua Electric (002463) with a net inflow of 2.40 billion yuan from institutional investors [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching 16.375 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 24.75%, and a net profit of 1.233 billion yuan, up 57.22% year-on-year [4][5] Company Overview - The latest closing price is 56.93 yuan, with a total share capital of 2.318 billion shares and a total market capitalization of 132 billion yuan [3] - The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 27.4% and a price-to-earnings ratio of 36.49 [3] Investment Highlights - The demand for AI server market is surging, leading to rapid growth in automotive and server board businesses. The communication board business achieved revenue of 10.268 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.62%, with a stable gross margin of 15.98% [5] - The consumer electronics and computer board business capitalized on the recovery cycle, generating revenue of 5.174 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 31.63%, with a gross margin of 24.52%, up 2.80% year-on-year [5] - The automotive/server board business saw revenue of 0.805 billion yuan, a remarkable year-on-year increase of 87.42% due to the surge in AI server market demand [5] Future Outlook - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 40.28 billion yuan, 46.47 billion yuan, and 52.94 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 4.21 billion yuan, 5.42 billion yuan, and 6.47 billion yuan [7] - The company is expanding its production capacity, with new facilities in Thailand and Taiwan aimed at serving high-demand sectors such as AI servers and optical modules [6]

Core Insights - The PCB industry is experiencing significant growth driven by demand from AI computing and automotive sectors, with most listed PCB companies reporting profit increases in the first half of the year [1][3] - The industry is facing rising costs due to increased prices of key raw materials, particularly copper, which may intensify competition and cost management challenges for PCB manufacturers in the second half of the year [1][8][10] Industry Performance - Nearly 70% of PCB companies that have disclosed mid-year results reported growth in net profit attributable to shareholders, with notable increases from companies like Shenghong Technology and Junya Technology, which saw profits rise by 367% and 333% respectively [3] - The demand for high-end PCBs is surging, particularly in emerging fields such as AI, new energy vehicles, and data centers, leading to a significant increase in high-frequency and high-speed copper-clad laminate sales [5] Market Trends - The PCB market is projected to grow from $73.57 billion in 2024 to $94.66 billion by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.2%. High-layer and HDI boards are expected to be key growth drivers during this period [6] - The shift in growth dynamics is anticipated as the PCB industry expands from Nvidia's customer base to non-Nvidia overseas computing clients, presenting new opportunities for domestic manufacturers [6] Cost Pressures - The overall increase in copper prices has led to a rise in operating costs for PCB manufacturers, with over half of the companies experiencing cost growth that outpaces revenue growth [8][10] - Companies are implementing cost control measures to manage the impact of rising raw material prices, with some firms actively monitoring market trends and adjusting supply strategies accordingly [9] Capacity Expansion - PCB manufacturers are announcing expansion plans focused on high-end multi-layer PCB products, with significant investments being made in Southeast Asia to enhance production capabilities [12] - Companies like Shenghong Technology and Sihui Electronics are investing heavily in new facilities and technology upgrades to increase their market share in high-end PCB segments [12][13] - Southeast Asia is becoming a focal point for PCB production, with countries like Thailand and Vietnam attracting investments due to their growing manufacturing capabilities, despite potential higher production costs compared to domestic operations [12][13]

Core Viewpoint - The PCB industry is experiencing significant growth driven by demand from AI computing, automotive electronics, and data centers, with many companies reporting substantial profit increases in the first half of the year [1][2][4]. Group 1: Industry Performance - Nearly 70% of PCB listed companies reported growth in net profit, with notable increases from companies like Shenghong Technology (up 367%), Junya Technology (up 333%), and Huazheng New Materials (up 328%) [2]. - The PCB market is projected to grow from $73.57 billion in 2024 to $94.66 billion by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.2% [4]. Group 2: Product Upgrades - The industry is shifting towards high-end products, particularly in AI servers and automotive electronics, with high-frequency and high-speed copper-clad laminates seeing increased demand [2][3]. - Companies like Shenghong Technology are focusing on high-density interconnect (HDI) boards, which require advanced manufacturing processes and have seen supply tightness due to increased demand [3]. Group 3: Cost Pressures - Rising copper prices have led to increased operating costs for PCB manufacturers, with over half of the companies experiencing cost growth outpacing revenue growth [5][6]. - The copper price is expected to remain high, with analysts predicting further increases in the second half of the year, adding pressure on PCB companies to manage costs effectively [6]. Group 4: Capacity Expansion - Companies are actively expanding production capacities, particularly in Southeast Asia, to meet the growing demand for high-end multi-layer PCBs [7][9]. - Significant investments are being made by companies like Jingwang Electronics and Shenghong Technology in new facilities and technology upgrades to enhance their market share in high-end PCB products [7][9]. Group 5: Regional Developments - Southeast Asia is becoming a key region for PCB production, with countries like Thailand and Vietnam attracting investments from major PCB manufacturers [7][8]. - The region is expected to have the highest CAGR of 7.8% from 2024 to 2029, driven by the shift of production from China [7].

Core Viewpoint - The PCB industry is experiencing significant growth driven by demand from AI computing power and automotive applications, with many companies reporting substantial profit increases in the first half of the year [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Performance - Nearly 70% of PCB listed companies reported growth in net profit, with notable increases from companies like Shenghong Technology (up 367%), Junya Technology (up 333%), and Huazheng New Materials (up 328%) [2]. - The demand for high-end PCBs is being driven by emerging fields such as AI, new energy vehicles, and data centers, leading to a notable increase in high-frequency and high-speed copper clad laminate sales [2][3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The PCB market is projected to grow from $73.57 billion in 2024 to $94.66 billion in 2029, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.2% [4]. - The growth of AI servers and high-speed network infrastructure is expected to drive the demand for multilayer boards with more than 18 layers and HDI boards, with respective CAGRs of 15.7% and 6.4% from 2024 to 2029 [4]. Group 3: Cost Pressures - Rising copper prices have led to increased operating costs for PCB manufacturers, with over half of the companies experiencing a faster growth rate in operating costs compared to revenue [5][6]. - The PCB industry is facing pressure from rising raw material prices, particularly copper, which has been fluctuating at high levels this year [6]. Group 4: Capacity Expansion - Companies are actively expanding production capacity, particularly in Southeast Asia, with significant investments announced by firms like Jingwang Electronics and Shenghong Technology to enhance their high-end PCB production capabilities [7][8]. - Southeast Asia is becoming a key region for PCB manufacturers, with a projected CAGR of 7.8% from 2024 to 2029, as companies shift production from China [7][8].

公司已成为 AI 手机、折叠手机与 AR/VR 设备核心供货商，并在卫星通 讯与低轨卫星领域，以及人形机器人和脑机接口领域积极布局，拓展前 瞻性技术研究。 公司预计在淮安园区投资 80 亿人民币扩充 SLP 高阶 HDI 及 HLC 等产能， 建设覆盖 AI 云管端全产业链的淮安 AI 园区。泰国一厂已试产，预计四 季度小量产，泰国二厂建设中，打造 one every 一站式 PCB 服务平台。 季盈利能力显著提升。 鹏鼎控股 20250826 摘要 2025 年上半年，公司营收 163.75 亿元，同比增长 24.7%，销售净利 率 7.49%，加权平均净资产收益率 3.76%，基本每股收益 0.53 元，均 实现同比增长。二季度盈利能力显著提升，毛利率和净利率分别较一季 度增长 2.45 和 2.92 个百分点。 通讯用板（手机业务为主）收入 102.68 亿元，同比增长 17.62%，占 总营收 62.7%；消费电子及计算机用板收入 51.74 亿元，同比增长 31%，占比 31%；汽车及服务器用板收入 8 亿元，同比大幅增长 87%，占比 4%。 公司营运能力表现良好，应收账款周转天数 53 天，同比 ...