BYD(SZ:002594) Minsheng Securities·2025-03-25 14:09Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for BYD, with a closing price of 369.59 CNY as of March 25, 2025 [5]. Core Insights - BYD's revenue for 2024 reached 777.1 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 29.0%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 40.25 billion CNY, up 34.0% year-on-year [1]. - The company is expected to see significant growth in revenue and profit from 2025 to 2027, with projected revenues of 1,014.1 billion CNY, 1,237.2 billion CNY, and 1,477.2 billion CNY, respectively [4]. - The report highlights the launch of high-end intelligent driving models and an aggressive expansion into overseas markets, with a target of 800,000 units for export in 2025 [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, BYD's revenue was 274.85 billion CNY, reflecting a 52.7% year-on-year increase, and net profit was 15.02 billion CNY, up 73.1% year-on-year [1][2]. - The overall gross margin for Q4 2024 was reported at 17.0%, with automotive and battery gross margins at 19.8% [2]. Sales and Production - BYD sold 1.524 million vehicles in Q4 2024, a 61.7% increase year-on-year, with a single vehicle average selling price (ASP) of 144,100 CNY [1][2]. - The report notes a slight decrease in the proportion of high-end models sold, which accounted for 4.1% of total sales [1]. Strategic Initiatives - The introduction of the Dynasty Ocean series intelligent driving models aims to democratize high-level autonomous driving technology [3]. - The company plans to enhance its high-end product offerings in 2025, with the launch of the Tengshi N9, a six-seat large SUV [3]. Future Projections - The report forecasts a net profit of 58.12 billion CNY for 2025, with an expected EPS of 19.12 CNY [4]. - BYD's projected PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 19, 17, and 15, respectively, indicating a favorable valuation trend [4].