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华润饮料(02460):逆势实现业绩稳增,盈利水平提升明显

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to China Resources Beverage (02460) with a target price of HKD 18.75, indicating an expected increase of over 15% relative to the market index in the next six months [1][6][12]. Core Insights - China Resources Beverage achieved a revenue of HKD 13.521 billion in 2024, a slight increase of 0.05% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 23.12% to HKD 1.637 billion. The company declared a total cash dividend of HKD 1.158 billion, with a payout ratio of 70.77% [3][4][5]. - The company’s packaging water segment saw a revenue decline of 2.6% to HKD 12.124 billion, accounting for 89.7% of total revenue, while the second-line beverage business grew by 30.8% to HKD 1.4 billion, representing 10.3% of total revenue [4][5]. - The gross margin improved by 2.6 percentage points to 47.3%, driven by increased self-owned production capacity and reduced outsourcing costs. The net profit margin also increased by 2.3 percentage points to 12.1% [5][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of HKD 13.521 billion and a net profit of HKD 1.637 billion, with respective growth rates of 0.05% and 23.12% [3][7]. - The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are HKD 14.453 billion, HKD 15.261 billion, and HKD 16.075 billion, with growth rates of 7%, 6%, and 5% respectively [7][9]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on enhancing its market presence in the large packaging water segment, which has shown a revenue increase of 8.6% year-on-year, while small packaging products faced a decline due to competitive pricing [4][5]. - The introduction of new products, such as the "Zhi Ben Qing Run" series, has significantly boosted sales, with a 122% increase in volume for this product line [4][6]. Operational Efficiency - The report highlights that internal efficiency improvements have led to a decrease in unit production costs, contributing to a notable increase in profitability [5][6]. - The company plans to further enhance its production capacity and reduce logistics costs by expanding its distribution network and optimizing transportation methods [6][9].