Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6] Core Views - The company has significantly improved its balance sheet, marking a transformation phase. In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 2.6 billion, down 24.8% year-on-year, while net profit surged by 150.5% to 500 million, primarily due to a major gain from loan restructuring amounting to 476 million [1][4] - The company is expanding its coal production capacity in Indonesia, with expectations of improved profitability as the quality of coal from the SDE mine is anticipated to increase [2][3] - The company plans to distribute a special dividend of 0.02 HKD per share for 2024, reflecting management's commitment to shareholder returns and confidence in future profitability [4] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a financial cost of 162 million, a decrease of 5.9% year-on-year. The current liabilities are projected to drop to 2.09 billion from 3.32 billion in 2023, with cash reserves reaching 1.03 billion, mainly from the sale of a 40% stake in Liyuan Development [4] - The company's debt-to-asset ratio is expected to decrease to 59.6% by the end of 2024, down from 95.9% in 2023 [4] - The company’s coal production in 2024 is projected at 9.29 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 21.5%, with the SDE mine contributing 2.57 million tons [8] Future Projections - The company anticipates net profits of 560 million, 1.04 billion, and 1.54 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 4.2X, 2.3X, and 1.5X [4][5] - The SDE coal mine is expected to become a significant pillar of the company's coal business, with total reserves of 305 million tons, far exceeding the domestic reserves of 36.76 million tons [8] - The company has successfully acquired 70% stakes in three Indonesian coal mines, further expanding its market presence [8]
中国秦发（00866）：资产负债表大幅改善，开启蜕变