Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for the coal mining sector [5] Core Views - The report emphasizes three key viewpoints regarding the coal market dynamics and investment strategies [4][9] - It highlights that the recent price adjustments are a normal digestion of previous rapid increases, and the core logic of rising coal prices due to supply constraints remains unchanged [4] - The report anticipates that as demand (whether speculative or real) activates, coal prices will rise, with expectations for prices to peak at the end of the year, potentially exceeding market expectations [4] Summary by Sections Production - In October, the raw coal production decreased by 2.3% year-on-year, with an output of 410 million tons, maintaining the same level as September [15][8] - For the first ten months of 2025, the cumulative production reached 3.97 billion tons, reflecting a growth of 1.5% year-on-year [15] - The forecast for 2025 suggests that the total thermal coal production may reach approximately 3.88 billion tons, with a growth rate narrowing to around 1.4% [15] Imports - In October, coal imports fell by 9.75% year-on-year, totaling 41.73 million tons, which is a decrease of 4.51 million tons compared to the same month last year [21][8] - For the first ten months of 2025, total coal imports amounted to 38.76 million tons, down 11% year-on-year [21] - The report predicts that the annual thermal coal import level may decline to around 38 million tons, a decrease of 6.4% year-on-year [21] Demand - In October, the industrial power generation increased by 7.9% year-on-year, with a total of 800.2 billion kWh generated [24][8] - The industrial thermal power generation saw a year-on-year increase of 7.3%, reversing a decline of 5.4% in September [24] - Conversely, crude steel production in October dropped by 12.07% year-on-year, amounting to 72 million tons, with the decline accelerating compared to September [37][8] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-performing stocks, particularly in the coal sector, including China Shenhua, China Coal Energy, and Yancoal [45][9] - It suggests a shift towards second-tier stocks as coal prices continue to rise, emphasizing the importance of selecting stocks based on performance and valuation [9]

Core Viewpoint - China Qinfa (00866) has entered into a coal supply agreement with Zhejiang Energy Asia Pacific, involving the sale of 150,000 tons of Indonesian thermal coal, which is expected to provide a stable revenue source due to the ongoing demand from Zhejiang Energy's state-owned power plants [1][2]. Group 1: Agreement Details - The agreement allows for a 10% adjustment in the base quantity of coal, with shipments scheduled to begin in November 2025 and concluding upon full delivery and payment [1]. - The coal will be shipped in two batches, each with a capacity of 75,000 tons, subject to the same 10% adjustment [1]. - The pricing mechanism for the coal is based on a formula involving the average of the Indonesian Coal Index (ICI2 and ICI3), adjusted for calorific value and quality, plus an additional $5 per ton [1]. Group 2: Strategic Implications - The decision to enter a shorter-term agreement, rather than the initially anticipated 20-year contract, was made to allow more time for evaluating annual production capacity [1]. - The agreement is considered fair and reasonable, aligning with the company's and shareholders' overall interests, as stated by the board of directors [2].

Core Viewpoint - The company Qinfa (00866) has entered into a coal supply agreement with Zhejiang Energy Asia Pacific, marking a strategic move to secure stable revenue from coal sales [1][2]. Group 1: Agreement Details - SDE, a non-wholly owned subsidiary of the company, will sell 150,000 metric tons of Indonesian thermal coal to Zhejiang Energy Asia Pacific [1]. - The agreement allows for a 10% adjustment in the base quantity, with shipments scheduled to commence in November 2025 [1]. - The coal will be delivered in two shipments of 75,000 metric tons each, with pricing based on a formula involving the Indonesian coal price index and adjustments for coal quality and calorific value [1]. Group 2: Strategic Implications - The initial expectation was for a 20-year supply agreement; however, the parties opted for a shorter-term agreement to allow for further evaluation of annual production capacity [2]. - The agreement is seen as a means to provide a stable income source due to the ongoing demand from Zhejiang Energy's state-owned power plants [2]. - The board of directors considers the terms of the agreement to be fair and reasonable, aligning with the company's and shareholders' overall interests [2].

Core Viewpoint - China Qinfa (00866.HK) has entered into a coal supply agreement with Zhejiang Energy Asia Pacific, involving the purchase of 150,000 metric tons of Indonesian thermal coal [1] Group 1: Agreement Details - The agreement allows for a mutual adjustment of the base quantity by 10% upwards or downwards [1] - Initially, a 20-year supply agreement was anticipated, but both parties require more time to assess annual production capacity before committing to a long-term contract [1] Group 2: Revenue Stability - The coal supply agreement is expected to provide the company with a stable revenue source due to the ongoing demand from Zhejiang Energy's state-owned power plants [1]

中 國 秦 發 集 團 有 限 公 司 CHINA QINFA GROUP LIMITED （ 於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司） （股份代號︰00866） 關連交易 香 港 交易 及 結 算 所 有限 公 司 和 香港 聯 合 交 易 所有 限 公 司 對 本公 佈 的 內 容概 不 負 責， 對 其 準 確 性或 完 整 性 亦不 發 表 任 何 聲明 ， 並 明 確 表示 概 不 就 因本 公 佈 全部 或 任 何 部 分內 容 而 產 生或 因 依 賴 該 等內 容 而 引 致 的任 何 損 失 承擔 任何責任。 供煤協議 供煤協議 董 事 會 欣 然 宣 佈 ， SDE（ 本 公 司 的 非 全 資 附 屬 公 司 ）與 浙 江 能 源 亞 太 訂 立 供煤協議，內容有關浙江能源亞太向SDE購買煤炭。 上市規則的涵義 於 本 公 佈 日 期 ， 由 於 浙 江 能 源 亞 太 為 力 遠（ 本 公 司 的 間 接 非 全 資 附 屬 公 司 ）的主要股東，故其為本公司附屬公司層面的關連人士。因此，供煤協 議的訂立及其項下擬進行的交易構成上市規則第14A章項下本公司的關連 交易。 – 1 – 由於(i)浙 ...

Group 1 - The coal stocks have collectively retreated after a period of continuous increase, with notable declines in companies such as China Coal Energy, which fell over 4%, and Yanzhou Coal Mining, which dropped 3% [1] - Despite a year-on-year decline in coal prices expected until the third quarter of 2025, there has been a significant quarter-on-quarter recovery in coal prices and improved performance for coal companies in the third quarter [1] - An increasing number of financial institutions, investment funds, and insurance companies are incorporating Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) factors into their investment decisions, leading to restrictions or withdrawals from coal-related projects, resulting in higher financing costs for coal companies [1] Group 2 - Short-term factors such as economic recovery, extreme weather, and geopolitical issues may create trading opportunities due to tight coal supply and demand, although high volatility should be noted [1] - The latest price movements of various coal companies indicate a downward trend, with specific declines such as Feishang Non-Ferrous Coal down 8.58% and China Shenhua down 2.76% [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for several key companies in the coal mining sector, including Yanzhou Coal Mining Company, China Shenhua Energy, and others [5][12]. Core Insights - Global energy investment is projected to reach $3.3 trillion in 2025, marking a 2% increase from 2024, with a significant shift towards clean energy investments outpacing fossil fuels [1][4]. - The report highlights that while clean energy investments are surging, challenges such as grid bottlenecks, supply chain pressures, and regional imbalances pose significant risks to the energy transition [1][4]. - The focus of energy investments is irreversibly shifting towards clean energy, with the modernization of the grid, supply chain resilience, and financing in emerging markets being critical for successful transition [4][56]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Investment - Global power investment is expected to reach a record $1.5 trillion in 2024, driven by low-emission power, grid, and battery storage investments [16]. - Solar energy faces financial pressures due to overcapacity, while wind energy remains stable, and nuclear power is experiencing a revival [20][21]. - Grid investment is lagging behind renewable energy deployment, with significant bottlenecks in supply chains and labor shortages [48][49]. 2. Energy Supply - Fossil fuel supply investment is expected to decline by 2% in 2025, marking the first decrease since 2020, primarily due to falling oil prices and rising costs [2][56]. - Coal investment is at a record high driven by China and India, although growth rates are slowing [56][59]. - Investment in low-carbon technologies is robust, with liquid biofuels and low-emission hydrogen expected to see a 30% increase in 2025 [57]. 3. Terminal Demand - Electrification is accelerating, with significant investments in the transportation sector, while building investments are stagnating due to policy rollbacks and cost pressures [3][55]. - Industrial energy efficiency is rebounding in China and the U.S., but global low-emission steel investments are contracting significantly [3][55]. 4. Investment Strategy - The report recommends focusing on companies that are well-positioned in the coal mining sector, particularly those with strong performance metrics [9][12].

Core Viewpoint - China Qinfa (00866) has been included in the MSCI Global Small Cap Index, effective after the market close on November 24, 2025, which is expected to enhance its visibility among international institutional investors [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - China Qinfa's stock rose over 4% and is currently trading at 3.2 HKD, with a trading volume of 3.4588 million HKD [1] Group 2: MSCI Inclusion - The inclusion in the MSCI Global Small Cap Index is a significant milestone for the company, as the index is widely referenced by international investment institutions [1] Group 3: Mining Operations - The company's wholly-owned subsidiary, PT Trisula Sumber Energi (TSE), is currently in the pre-operational planning phase for coal mining in South Kalimantan, Indonesia, with construction expected to begin in Q1 2026 [1] - China Qinfa holds mining rights for five major mining areas in Indonesia: SDE, TSE, SME, VSE, and IMJ, with the SDE area planned to have a production capacity of 30 million tons [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Qinfa has been included in the MSCI Global Small Cap Index, effective after the market close on November 24, 2025, which is expected to enhance its visibility among international investors [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - China Qinfa's stock rose over 4% and is currently trading at 3.2 HKD with a trading volume of 3.4588 million HKD [1] Group 2: MSCI Inclusion - The inclusion in the MSCI Global Small Cap Index is a significant milestone for the company, as MSCI indices are widely referenced by international institutional investors [1] Group 3: Mining Operations - The company's wholly-owned subsidiary, PT Trisula Sumber Energi (TSE), is in the pre-operational planning stage for coal mining in South Kalimantan, Indonesia, with construction expected to begin in Q1 2026 [1] - China Qinfa holds mining rights for five major mining areas in Indonesia: SDE, TSE, SME, VSE, and IMJ, with the SDE area planned to have a production capacity of 30 million tons [1]

Core Viewpoint - Qinfa (00866) has been included in the MSCI Global Small Cap Index following a recent review by MSCI, with the adjustment effective after the market close on November 24, 2025 [1] Group 1 - The MSCI Global Small Cap Index is designed to measure the performance of small-cap companies in the market [1] - MSCI indices are referenced by international professional investment institutions [1]