STL(SZ:002648) Guoxin Securities·2025-03-26 02:46Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][15][21] Core Views - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to grow by 26.8% year-on-year in 2024, with revenues reaching 45.65 billion yuan, reflecting a 10.0% increase [1][6] - The company is investing 25.7 billion yuan in a new high-end materials industrial park project, which is expected to enhance long-term growth prospects [3][14] - The C2 industry chain profitability is stable, supported by a significant decrease in ethane prices, with the average price in the US at 19.0 cents per gallon, down 23.0% year-on-year [2][11] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 456.5 billion yuan, with a net profit of 60.7 billion yuan, and a non-recurring net profit of 60.5 billion yuan, indicating strong performance [1][6] - The gross margin for 2024 is projected at 23.6%, an increase of 3.7 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin is expected to be 13.3%, up by 1.8 percentage points [1][6] - The company forecasts net profits of 70.8 billion yuan and 85.5 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a projected EPS of 2.10 yuan and 2.54 yuan [3][15] Segment Performance Summary - The company’s functional chemicals, high polymer materials, and new energy materials segments are expected to generate revenues of 21.71 billion yuan, 11.99 billion yuan, and 840 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 2.0%, 0.6%, and 80.8% [2][11] - The profitability of the C2 industry chain is expected to improve, with the ethane-ethylene cracking spread increasing by 12.0% year-on-year [2][11] - The company plans to launch new projects, including a 100,000-ton/year ethanolamine and an 800,000-ton/year polyol project, which are anticipated to contribute significantly to revenue growth in 2025 [2][14]