渝农商行（601077）：经营业绩回暖，息差边际企稳

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for A/H shares with a target price of HKD 7.06 and RMB 7.46 [8][9]. Core Insights - The company's 2024 net profit attributable to shareholders, revenue, and PPOP are expected to grow by 5.6%, 1.1%, and 4.0% year-on-year, respectively, with growth rates improving compared to the first nine months of the year [1]. - The company plans to distribute a dividend of RMB 0.30 per share in 2024, maintaining a dividend payout ratio of 30.05% [1]. - The net interest margin for 2024 is projected to be 1.61%, stable compared to the previous three quarters, with a year-on-year decrease of 12 basis points [3]. - The company has seen a steady increase in total assets, loans, and deposits, all growing by 5.1% year-on-year as of the end of 2024 [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 11,513 million for 2024, with a projected growth of 5.6% for 2025 [28]. - Revenue for 2024 is expected to reach RMB 28,261 million, reflecting a 1.09% increase from 2023 [29]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio at the end of 2024 is 1.18%, with a provision coverage ratio of 363% [4]. - The report indicates an improvement in overdue indicators, with the overdue rate decreasing to 1.32% [4]. Valuation Metrics - The report forecasts a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.63 for A shares and 0.55 for H shares in 2025, with a target price adjustment from previous estimates [5]. - The expected return on equity (ROE) for 2025 is projected to be 9.25% [29].