AI基金民生加银红利回报混合（690009）披露2025年二季报，第二季度基金利润227.66万元，加权平均基金份额本期利润0.1049元。报告期内，基金净值增 长率为4.33%，截至二季度末，基金规模为5420.78万元。 该基金属于灵活配置型基金。截至7月21日，单位净值为2.505元。基金经理是邓凯成，目前管理3只基金近一年均为正收益。其中，截至7月21日，民生加银 金融优选混合A近一年复权单位净值增长率最高，达21.67%；民生加银红利回报混合最低，为6.05%。 基金管理人在二季报中表示，我们看好价值风格和红利的方向没有改变，在保持稳健的同时，也积极寻找有弹性的红利。一方面继续较大比例配置金融板 块，同时我们积极寻找自身经营改善，积极提升分红比例的公司。 截至7月21日，民生加银红利回报混合近三个月复权单位净值增长率为4.02%，位于同类可比基金757/880；近半年复权单位净值增长率为5.25%，位于同类可 比基金598/880；近一年复权单位净值增长率为6.05%，位于同类可比基金732/880；近三年复权单位净值增长率为-23.05%，位于同类可比基金672/871。 通过所选区间该基金净值增 ...

AI基金汇添富红利智选混合发起式A（021515）披露2025年二季报，第二季度基金利润67.55万元，加权平均基金份额本期利润0.0654元。报告期内，基金净 值增长率为6.4%，截至二季度末，基金规模为1145.54万元。 该基金属于偏股混合型基金。截至7月18日，单位净值为1.112元。基金经理是温琪，目前管理2只基金。 基金管理人在二季报中表示，报告期内，我们始终保持高仓位运作。在组合配置上，我们（1）超配了港股高股息资产；（2）适度超配了银行、交运等相对 低波动的板块；（3）基于行业基本面情况，低配了煤炭行业而超配了有色金属行业；（4）考虑到当前流动性较好、投资者风险偏好上升的市场环境，我们 亦自下而上的选择部分估值相对便宜且兼具一定成长性的个股进行配置。整体而言，这些操作使得投资组合取得了较高的超额收益。预计未来较长时间段 内，红利风格都将是 A股市场重要的投资主线。本基金管理人将保持产品的红利风格不漂移，同时积极把握市场脉络，在低波动和质量等风格上做阶段性的 暴露，力求组合能够相对基准获取稳健的超额收益。 截至7月18日，汇添富红利智选混合发起式A近三个月复权单位净值增长率为10.38%，位于同 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业专题 | 银行 主动筹码增幅有限 ——2025Q2 末银行股机构筹码追踪 投资要点 ❑ 25Q2 银行股机构持仓水平提升，主要依靠被动拉动，主动公募持仓增幅有限，筹 码结构仍然健康。低估值或基本面优异的股份行、城商行受青睐。 ❑ 整体水平：银行机构持仓上升 整体水平：25Q2 末银行股公募的持仓水平上升。25Q2 末偏股型公募+北上合计持 有银行股数较 25Q1 末提升 8.5%，占自由流通股的占比较 25Q1 末提升 0.7pc。其 中，主要增持力量来自被动资金，主动型公募+北上的持仓增幅有限，筹码结构仍 然健康。25Q2 末，主动型公募、指数型公募、北上资金持股数环比+6.3%、+39.0%、 +2.3%，占自由流通股比例环比分别+0.1pc、+0.6pc、基本持平。 子行业中：中小银行持仓增加。25Q2 末，国有行、股份行、城商行、农商行的机 构持股数占自由流通股比例，分别较 25Q1 末+0.1、+1.2、+1.0、+0.6pc。 个股来看：低估值股份行、基本面优质城农商行资金增持力度加大。机构持仓增 幅最大的银行为民生、中信、平安、重庆、渝农，25Q2 末持股数占自由流通股比 ...

核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 ⚫ 外部环境不确定性增加，宽货币有望延续，全社会预期回报率中长期仍趋于下行， 低波红利策略有效性料延续。公募改革导致的银行配置偏离风格回归的预期，有望 助力银行跑出超额收益。保险预定利率或于 25Q3 再度下调，险资股息率容忍度有 望进一步抬升，呵护银行绝对收益。预计银行业基本面 25Q2 环比 25Q1 边际将有 所改善，主要是其他非息收入增长压力的缓解。现阶段关注两条投资主线：1、为 三季度保险预定利率下调提前布局高股息类银行，建议关注：建设银行(601939， 未评级)、工商银行(601398，未评级)、渝农商行(601077，买入)； 2、中小银行年 初以来表现强势，后续我们依然看好，考虑到目前行业估值、股息、基本面等多重 因素，建议关注：兴业银行(601166，未评级)、中信银行(601998，未评级)、南京 银行(601009，买入)、江苏银行(600919，买入)、杭州银行(600926，买入)。 风险提示 货币政策超预期收紧；财政政策低于预期；测算相关风险。 | | 看好（维持） | | --- | --- | | | 中国 | | | 银行行业 | | | 20 ...

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Index for Hong Kong, Shanghai, and Shenzhen Dividend Growth Low Volatility Index (SHS Dividend Growth LV) has shown positive performance trends, with a 1.64% increase over the past month, 9.07% over the past three months, and an 8.71% increase year-to-date [1]. Group 1: Index Performance - The SHS Dividend Growth LV Index opened lower but closed higher, down 0.23% at 7477.8 points with a trading volume of 37.679 billion yuan [1]. - The index is composed of 100 securities selected from the mainland and Hong Kong markets, focusing on companies with continuous cash dividends, stable profit growth, and low volatility [1]. Group 2: Index Holdings - The top ten holdings in the SHS Dividend Growth LV Index include major banks such as China Construction Bank (2.5%), Postal Savings Bank (2.14%), and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (1.85%) [1]. - The index's market allocation shows that the Shanghai Stock Exchange accounts for 55.01%, the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for 24.53%, and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange for 20.46% [2]. Group 3: Sector Allocation - The sector distribution of the index indicates that the financial sector holds the largest share at 45.02%, followed by industrial (19.67%) and healthcare (7.71%) sectors [2]. - Other sectors represented include consumer discretionary (7.22%), communication services (6.68%), utilities (5.44%), materials (4.59%), energy (1.96%), and consumer staples (1.70%) [2]. Group 4: Index Adjustment and Fund Tracking - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with changes implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December [2]. - Public funds tracking the SHS Dividend Growth LV Index include several funds managed by Invesco Great Wall [2].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive (Maintain)" [6] Core Viewpoints - The external environment's uncertainty is increasing, and the continuation of loose monetary policy is expected, with the overall expected return rate for society trending downward in the medium to long term. The effectiveness of low-volatility dividend strategies is likely to persist. The public fund reform is expected to assist banks in achieving excess returns as the allocation style returns to normal [3][26] - The banking sector's fundamentals are expected to improve marginally in Q2 2025 compared to Q1 2025, primarily due to alleviated pressure on other non-interest income growth [3][26] Summary by Sections Investment Suggestions and Targets - Two main investment lines are currently being focused on: 1. Preparing for the anticipated reduction in insurance preset rates in Q3 2025 by investing in high-dividend banks, with recommendations to pay attention to China Construction Bank (601939, not rated), Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (601398, not rated), and Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (601077, Buy) [4][27] 2. Continuing to favor small and medium-sized banks that have performed strongly since the beginning of the year, with recommendations to focus on Industrial Bank (601166, not rated), CITIC Bank (601998, not rated), Nanjing Bank (601009, Buy), Jiangsu Bank (600919, Buy), and Hangzhou Bank (600926, Buy) [4][27] Financial Data Insights - In June 2025, the social financing (社融) year-on-year growth was 8.9%, with a month-on-month increase of 0.2 percentage points, and the monthly increment was 4.20 trillion yuan, exceeding the consensus expectation of 494.2 billion yuan [9][10] - The increase in loans was primarily driven by corporate short-term loans, with total loans growing by 7.1% year-on-year in June 2025, and the monthly increment was 2.24 trillion yuan, also surpassing expectations [15][20] - M1 growth accelerated to 4.6% year-on-year in June 2025, with M2 growth at 8.3%, indicating a narrowing gap between M2 and M1 growth rates [20][21] Structural Changes in Financing - The increase in social financing was mainly supported by government bonds and loans, with government bonds increasing by 507.2 billion yuan year-on-year [11][10] - Corporate direct financing also saw a year-on-year increase of 36.2 billion yuan, primarily due to a rise in bond financing [11][10]

Market Overview - The overall market is experiencing a pullback, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3500.62 points, down 0.12% [2] - The total trading volume for the market was 927 billion, showing a significant decrease compared to the previous day [3] Financial Sector Performance - The financial sector, particularly banks and insurance companies, is underperforming, contributing to the decline of the Shanghai Composite Index [3][8] - Major insurance companies like New China Life and China Life have seen declines exceeding 1%, with New China Life down 2.69% [8] - Among 42 bank stocks, only China Bank remained flat, while others, including Xiamen Bank and Qilu Bank, experienced declines of nearly 4% and 2.89% respectively [13] New IPOs and Market Movements - N Huadian New Energy, the largest IPO of the year, saw its stock price rise by as much as 219.81% during trading, reaching a peak of 10.17 yuan per share [12] - The company raised 18.171 billion yuan through the issuance of 4.969 billion shares, with plans for investment in renewable energy projects [15] Hong Kong Market Performance - The Hong Kong market is showing positive trends, with the Hang Seng Index up 0.28% and the Hang Seng Technology Index up 0.61% [5] - Anta Sports led the gains in the Hang Seng Index, rising by 2.73% [6] Notable Stock Movements - The stock of Weiyali surged by 918% upon its resumption of trading, reflecting significant market interest [17] - The stock price of Weiyali reached 33.2 HKD per share during trading, before settling at 11 HKD, marking a 237.42% increase [18]

Core Viewpoint - A-share listed banks are experiencing a peak in dividend distribution for the 2024 fiscal year, with over thirty banks having completed their annual dividends and several others announcing dividend implementation plans [1][3][4]. Group 1: 2024 Annual Dividends - The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) leads with a total cash dividend of approximately 109.77 billion yuan for the previous year [3][4]. - The six major state-owned banks have collectively distributed over 420 billion yuan in dividends for 2024, with ICBC, China Construction Bank, Agricultural Bank of China, and Bank of China being the top contributors [4][6]. - Other banks such as China CITIC Bank and Beijing Bank have also announced significant cash dividends, with CITIC Bank distributing around 19.46 billion yuan [4][5]. Group 2: 2025 Mid-Year Dividend Plans - Several banks, including China Merchants Bank and Hangzhou Bank, have initiated plans for mid-year dividends in 2025, aiming to enhance investor returns [1][8][10]. - The focus on mid-year dividends is seen as a strategy to improve liquidity and provide more consistent cash flow to investors, which may support long-term stock price appreciation [10]. - Banks like Su Nong Bank and Changsha Bank have expressed intentions to implement mid-year dividend plans based on their financial performance and regulatory requirements [8][9]. Group 3: Stock Performance and Market Trends - The banking sector has shown strong performance in the A-share market, with several banks achieving significant stock price increases in the first half of the year [12][13]. - The overall dividend yield of the banking sector remains attractive, particularly in a low-interest-rate environment, making it appealing for long-term investors [10][13]. - Some banks have faced challenges in executing share buyback plans due to stock price fluctuations, indicating a cautious approach to capital management [11][14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the banking sector [2] Core Insights - The report highlights a recovery in credit growth, with government bonds remaining a primary support item. In June, social financing increased by 900.8 billion yuan year-on-year, with a total of 4.2 trillion yuan added, surpassing market expectations [9][10] - The structure of social financing shows a significant increase in credit, with a notable rise in government bond issuance, which reached 1.3508 trillion yuan in June, up 503.2 billion yuan year-on-year [10][12] Summary by Sections Social Financing Growth - In June, social financing increased by 900.8 billion yuan compared to the same month last year, with a total of 4.2 trillion yuan added, exceeding consensus expectations. The year-on-year growth rate of social financing reached 8.9%, a 0.2 percentage point increase from May [9][10] Credit Situation - New loans in June amounted to 2.24 trillion yuan, an increase of 110 billion yuan year-on-year, which is higher than market expectations. The year-on-year growth rate of credit balance was 7.1%, with the growth rate remaining stable compared to the previous month [12][13] - The credit structure indicates that various types of general loans (excluding bills) have increased year-on-year, while the characteristics of bill financing have weakened. Specifically, corporate short-term loans saw a significant increase [13][18] Liquidity and Deposit Situation - In June, M1 growth rate significantly increased, and the gap between M2 and M1 narrowed. M0, M1, and M2 grew by 12.0%, 4.6%, and 8.3% year-on-year, respectively [6][12] - The total increase in RMB deposits in June was 3.21 trillion yuan, which is 750 billion yuan more than the same period last year, with a year-on-year growth rate of 8.3% [6][12] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the banking sector, particularly regional banks with strong certainty and advantages, such as Jiangsu Bank and Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank. It also highlights the importance of high dividend stability in large banks [6][12]

Core Viewpoint - High dividend stocks continue to rise, with a focus on "high dividend + low valuation" large-cap blue-chip stocks in the value ETF (510030) [1][4] Group 1: Market Performance - The value ETF (510030) opened slightly lower but then rose, with a current price increase of 0.27% [1] - The 180 Value Index has outperformed major A-share indices since the beginning of the year, with a cumulative increase of 7.24% compared to the Shanghai Composite Index's 4.73% and the CSI 300 Index's 2.03% [1][3] - As of July 11, 2025, the 180 Value Index's price-to-book ratio is at 0.85, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to the past decade [8] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The banking sector is the largest weight in the 180 Value Index, accounting for 50% as of June 2025 [5] - Insurance funds are expected to continue increasing their allocation to high-dividend bank stocks due to anticipated decreases in preset interest rates [4][6] - The focus on high dividend and high free cash flow return combinations is emphasized as a strategy to mitigate external uncertainties [6] Group 3: Investment Strategy - The value ETF closely tracks the 180 Value Index, which selects the top 60 stocks based on value factor scores, including major financial and infrastructure stocks [6] - The strategy suggests maintaining a "dividend core + small-cap growth" allocation to balance stability and growth potential [6]