Workflow
申洲国际(02313):销量持续快速增长,盈利表现符合预期

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 28.66 billion RMB and a net profit of 6.24 billion RMB in 2024, representing year-on-year growth of 15% and 37% respectively [1] - The company anticipates a revenue growth of 10% to 15% in 2025, driven by an increase in order share and improved production efficiency [5] Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, the company's revenue and net profit are projected to be 28.66 billion RMB and 6.24 billion RMB, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 15% and 37% [1] - The gross profit margin for 2024 is expected to increase by 3.8 percentage points to 28.1%, primarily due to the recovery of capacity utilization [2] - The net profit margin is projected to rise by 3.5 percentage points to 21.8% in 2024 [2] Orders and Client Base - The company has seen healthy growth in orders from major clients, with sales to its top four clients reaching 79.9 billion RMB, 74.0 billion RMB, 50.0 billion RMB, and 27.6 billion RMB, reflecting year-on-year changes of +33%, -4%, +35%, and +11% respectively [3] - Sales by product category in 2024 are expected to be 198.0 billion RMB for sportswear, 72.1 billion RMB for leisurewear, 14.4 billion RMB for underwear, and 2.2 billion RMB for other categories, with respective year-on-year growth rates of +10%, +27%, +35%, and +11% [3] Capacity and Production - The company is actively increasing its workforce to meet growing customer demand, with a saturated capacity utilization rate in 2024 [4] - The company is expanding its overseas production capacity, with a new garment factory in Cambodia nearing completion and expected to start hiring in 2025 [4] Financial Projections - The company expects to achieve net profits of 6.65 billion RMB, 7.40 billion RMB, and 8.26 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5] - The projected P/E ratio for 2025 is 11.5 times, indicating a favorable valuation compared to historical performance [5]