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渝农商行(601077):息差边际企稳,其他非息高增

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A/Buy-H" rating for the company, with a current price of 6.04 CNY/5.34 HKD and a fair value of 6.64 CNY/5.87 HKD [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the company's net interest margin has stabilized, while other non-interest income has seen significant growth, particularly benefiting from favorable market conditions [5]. Financial Performance Summary - For the fiscal year 2024, the company's revenue, pre-provision operating profit (PPOP), and net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 1.1%, 3.9%, and 5.6% year-on-year, respectively, showing improvements compared to the first three quarters of 2024 [5][7]. - The net interest margin for 2024 was reported at 1.61%, remaining stable compared to the previous quarters, primarily due to improved funding costs [5]. - Non-interest income surged by 56% year-on-year, with investment income contributing significantly to the net profit, accounting for 36.5% of the total [5]. - The cost-to-income ratio improved, decreasing by 2.08 percentage points year-on-year, reflecting effective cost management strategies [5]. - The asset quality remains robust, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 1.18% and a provision coverage ratio of 363% as of the end of 2024 [5]. Loan and Deposit Growth - The loan growth rate for 2024 was 5.6%, although there was a decline in loan volume in the fourth quarter, attributed to debt resolution impacts [5]. - The company has increased its focus on supporting new productive capacities, with manufacturing loans rising by 104 billion CNY, representing 27.8% of total loan growth [5]. Profitability Forecast - The report forecasts a net profit growth of 3.11% and 3.70% for the years 2025 and 2026, respectively, with earnings per share (EPS) projected at 1.02 CNY and 1.06 CNY [5].