Binjiang Group(002244) 东莞证券·2025-03-26 08:49Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near term [1][50]. Core Views - The company, Binjiang Group, has established itself as a leading private enterprise in Hangzhou, consistently ranking first in sales for seven consecutive years. The easing of housing purchase restrictions and the cancellation of new home price limits in Hangzhou have stimulated the local real estate market, supported by the growth of the digital economy and high-tech industries, which attract a significant number of skilled talents, ensuring robust long-term demand for real estate [4][48]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Binjiang Group focuses on high-quality residential projects and has a strong reputation in the industry. The company was founded in 1992 and has been recognized as one of the top 500 private enterprises in China and one of the top 20 real estate companies [9][10]. Sales Ranking Improvement - The company has shown resilience in sales despite the overall downturn in the real estate market. In 2024, it achieved a sales amount of 1116.3 billion yuan, entering the top 10 of national real estate companies for the first time, ranking 9th and being the only private company in that group. The company has maintained its leading position in the Hangzhou market, achieving significant sales figures [11][12][49]. Active Land Acquisition - Binjiang Group has been actively acquiring land, focusing on high-quality land reserves in Hangzhou. In 2024, the company's land acquisition amount reached 219 billion yuan, ranking 7th in the industry. The company’s land acquisition intensity was high, with 40.26% of its equity sales amount being reinvested into land purchases [13][15]. Financial Stability and Decreasing Financing Costs - The company has maintained a healthy financial status with a decreasing debt ratio. As of mid-2024, the company's total liabilities were 398.68 billion yuan, with a debt ratio of 78.98%. The average financing cost has decreased significantly from 5.6% in 2019 to a historical low of 3.4% in 2024, reflecting strong market confidence in the company's asset value and operational capabilities [16][18][21]. Revenue Growth and Profit Recovery Potential - Despite a decline in revenue due to the industry downturn, the company has remained profitable. The report forecasts that the company’s earnings per share (EPS) will increase from 0.87 yuan in 2024 to 1.06 yuan in 2026, indicating a potential recovery in performance as low-margin projects are completed and impairment provisions decrease [23][50]. Real Estate Market Recovery - The report highlights that the real estate market is gradually stabilizing, with policies aimed at boosting market confidence and demand. Hangzhou's real estate market is showing signs of recovery, with significant sales activity and competitive land auctions, positioning the company favorably for future growth [28][35][48].