Jasan Group(SH:603558) Guoxin Securities·2025-03-26 09:14Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][31][36] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit growth of 20% in 2024, driven by stable growth in cotton socks and a recovery in seamless apparel profitability [1][4] - Revenue is projected to increase by 12.8% year-on-year to 2.574 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit of 325 million yuan, reflecting a 20.2% increase [1][5] - The company plans to enhance shareholder returns through dividends and share buybacks, with a dividend of 0.3 yuan per share and a buyback plan of 50-100 million yuan [1][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company's revenue grew by 4.4% year-on-year to 650 million yuan, while net profit decreased by 11.6% to 62 million yuan, primarily due to year-end bonus provisions [2][3] - The cotton socks business saw a revenue increase of 16.0% to 1.844 billion yuan, with a net profit contribution of 279 million yuan [3][4] - Seamless apparel revenue increased by 5.6% to 661 million yuan, with a significant recovery in profitability, as the gross margin improved by 9.0 percentage points to 22% [3][4] Future Outlook - The company anticipates continued growth in cotton socks and a rapid increase in seamless apparel orders, with profitability expected to improve further as production capacity increases [4][31] - The net profit forecast for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 370 million, 410 million, and 450 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 14.7%, 10.6%, and 8.8% respectively [4][32] Valuation - The target price for the company is maintained at 11.80-12.70 yuan, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of 11-12x for 2025 [4][31] - The company’s financial metrics indicate a projected net profit margin of 14.6% in 2024, with a return on equity (ROE) of 13.0% [5][32]