CMOC(603993) 国信证券·2025-03-26 09:14Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][20]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a 64% year-on-year growth in net profit for 2024, with projected revenue of 213 billion yuan, representing a 14.4% increase. The net profit is forecasted to reach 13.53 billion yuan, while the non-recurring net profit is expected to be 13.12 billion yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 110.5% [5][6]. - The company is actively working towards a target of one million tons of copper production, with successful exploration results from TFM and KFM projects. Additionally, the company has made progress in power supply construction with a signed agreement for a 200MW hydropower project in the Democratic Republic of Congo [13][15]. - The company has demonstrated significant cost reductions in copper and cobalt production, with copper costs dropping to 30,194 yuan per ton in 2024 from 34,500 yuan per ton in 2023, and cobalt costs decreasing to 52,740 yuan per ton from 72,158 yuan per ton [6][7]. Financial Projections - For 2024, the company is projected to generate revenue of 213 billion yuan, with a net profit of 13.53 billion yuan. The expected revenue growth rates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 20.5%, 3.6%, and 3.7%, respectively [3][18]. - The estimated diluted earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.71 yuan, 0.80 yuan, and 0.93 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 11.4, 10.1, and 8.7 [18][19]. - The company is expected to maintain a return on equity (ROE) of 19.1% in 2024, increasing to 20.5% by 2027 [3][18].