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名创优品(09896):2024业绩点评:海外直营高增长,国内同店表现有望优化
09896MNSO(09896) 华安证券·2025-03-26 10:04

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown strong growth in overseas direct sales, while domestic same-store performance is expected to improve [5][6] - The overall gross margin reached a new high of 47.0% in Q4 2024, with a year-on-year increase of 3.9 percentage points [5] - The company plans to open over 1,000 new stores in 2024, accelerating its overseas market expansion [8] Summary by Relevant Sections Overall Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue reached 169.94 billion, a year-on-year increase of 22.8%, with an operating profit of 33.16 billion, up 17.6% year-on-year [8] - Adjusted net profit for 2024 was 27.21 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.4% [8] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 209.8 billion, 254.3 billion, and 303.9 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 23%, 21%, and 20% [6] - Adjusted net profit estimates for the same years are 31.0 billion, 36.0 billion, and 40.2 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of 14%, 16%, and 12% [6] Store Expansion and Market Strategy - The company plans to increase its store count to 7,504 by the end of 2024, with 631 new stores opened overseas [8] - TopToy's revenue for 2024 is projected to reach 9.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 44.7%, with significant growth in overseas markets [5]