CMOC(603993) 华源证券·2025-03-26 14:42Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has achieved significant growth in both revenue and profit, with 2024 revenue expected to exceed 200 billion RMB for the first time, reaching 213.03 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 14.37%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 13.53 billion RMB, a 64.03% increase year-on-year [6] - The company has successfully increased production across its main mineral products, with copper production reaching 650,200 tons, a 55% increase year-on-year, making it one of the top ten copper producers globally [6] - The financial situation of the company continues to improve, with a net operating cash flow of 32.39 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 108.38%, and a reduction in the debt-to-asset ratio to 49.52%, down 8.88 percentage points year-on-year [6] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The closing price of the stock is 7.98 RMB, with a total market capitalization of approximately 171.56 billion RMB [3] Financial Data - The company reported a net profit of 13.53 billion RMB for 2024, with a projected net profit of 15.57 billion RMB for 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 15.07% [7] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is expected to be 0.63 RMB, increasing to 0.72 RMB in 2025 [7] Production and Cost Efficiency - The company has achieved record production levels in copper, cobalt, niobium, and phosphate fertilizers, with significant reductions in unit operating costs for copper and cobalt [6] - The unit gross profit for copper is 30,500 RMB/ton, a year-on-year increase of 6.74% [6] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profits for 2025-2027 are 15.57 billion RMB, 18.08 billion RMB, and 19.83 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 11.02, 9.49, and 8.65 [7]