CSN(600029) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-03-27 03:41Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company recorded a net loss of 1.696 billion yuan in 2024, a reduction of 59.71% year-on-year, aligning with expectations [6] - Total operating revenue for 2024 reached 174.224 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.94% year-on-year growth [6] - The company is gradually moving towards a profit phase, with projected net profits of 3.64 billion yuan in 2025 and 7.229 billion yuan in 2026 [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total operating revenue (in million yuan): - 2023: 159,929 - 2024: 174,224 - 2025E: 176,292 - 2026E: 186,869 - 2027E: 196,419 [8] - Net profit (in million yuan): - 2023: -4,209 - 2024: -1,696 - 2025E: 3,640 - 2026E: 7,229 - 2027E: 9,823 [8] - The company expects a gross margin improvement from 8.4% in 2024 to 12.8% by 2027 [6] Operational Data - The company’s capacity and volume continued to recover in 2024, with overall ASK (Available Seat Kilometers) increasing by 14.8% year-on-year [6] - Domestic RPK (Revenue Passenger Kilometers) recovered to 118.5% of the 2019 level, with a year-on-year increase of 11.3% [6] - The company plans to increase its fleet by 53, 55, and 59 aircraft in the years 2025 to 2027, respectively [6]