BNBMPLC(SZ:000786) HTSC·2025-03-27 06:19Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 34.71 RMB [8][9]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 25.82 billion RMB and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 3.65 billion RMB for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.1% and 3.5% respectively. However, the Q4 results showed a revenue of 5.46 billion RMB and a net profit of 0.50 billion RMB, with a decline in net profit by 34.7% year-on-year due to increased sales and management expenses [1][2]. - The company is experiencing strong growth in overseas revenue, which reached 420 million RMB in 2024, up 87.6% year-on-year. The integration of the paint business is expected to enhance competitiveness in industrial coatings [2][3]. - The company is transitioning towards a comprehensive manufacturer and service provider in consumer building materials, benefiting from policies that stimulate demand in home decoration and renovation [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenues of 25.82 billion RMB, with a net profit of 3.65 billion RMB. The Q4 results were below expectations, primarily due to increased expenses [1][5]. - The company’s main products, including gypsum board and waterproof materials, showed varied performance, with gypsum board revenue declining by 4.8% while coatings revenue surged by 328% [2][3]. Cost and Cash Flow - The company’s expense ratio increased to 14.3%, with sales and management expenses rising significantly. However, operating cash flow improved by 8.5% year-on-year, reaching 5.13 billion RMB [3][5]. - The company is optimizing its channel structure, which is expected to maintain strong cash flow levels [3]. Market Trends and Policies - Retail sales of building materials showed a positive growth trend, with a 0.1% year-on-year increase in January-February 2025, indicating a recovery in demand [4]. - The government’s initiatives to boost consumption are expected to further support the company’s growth in the building materials sector [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for the company is adjusted to 4.51 billion RMB for 2025, reflecting a slight decrease in sales assumptions. The target price is set at 34.71 RMB, based on a 13x PE ratio for 2025 [5][8].