CIMC ENRIC(03899) 交银国际·2025-03-27 08:48Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of HKD 8.12, indicating a potential upside of 15.8% from the current price of HKD 7.01 [2][15][21]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing stable growth in clean energy products, with significant contributions expected from hydrogen projects. The revenue from clean energy is projected to grow by 15% year-on-year, with hydrogen product revenue expected to reach RMB 1 billion in 2025, reflecting a growth of approximately 15% [6][9]. - The company maintains a consistent dividend of HKD 0.3 per share, indicating a stable return to shareholders amidst growth initiatives [6]. - The overall revenue for the company is forecasted to increase from RMB 23.626 billion in 2023 to RMB 36.066 billion by 2027, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8% [5][18]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for the upcoming years are as follows: RMB 24.756 billion in 2024, RMB 28.287 billion in 2025, RMB 31.988 billion in 2026, and RMB 36.066 billion in 2027, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 4.8%, 14.3%, 13.1%, and 12.7% [5][18]. - Net profit is expected to grow from RMB 1.114 billion in 2023 to RMB 1.670 billion in 2027, with a projected CAGR of approximately 8% [5][18]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from RMB 0.63 in 2023 to RMB 0.82 in 2027, reflecting a steady growth trajectory [5][18]. Order and Backlog Analysis - New orders in the clean energy segment are expected to grow, with a 17% year-on-year increase in new signed orders for Q4 2024 [8]. - The backlog of orders in the clean energy segment is projected to increase significantly, with a 39.5% year-on-year growth expected by Q4 2024 [8]. Segment Performance - The clean energy equipment segment is anticipated to see substantial revenue growth, from RMB 14.907 billion in 2023 to RMB 26.392 billion by 2027, with a CAGR of 14.5% [9]. - The chemical equipment segment is expected to stabilize, with revenue projected to recover from RMB 4.414 billion in 2023 to RMB 3.749 billion in 2027 [9].