CMOC(603993) 华鑫证券·2025-03-27 10:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company has significantly increased its copper and cobalt production, with copper production ranking among the top ten globally [6][8] - The company achieved a revenue of 213.03 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 14.37%, and a net profit of 13.53 billion yuan, up 64.03% year-on-year [5][6] - The report slightly raises profit forecasts due to the upward trend in copper prices and effective cost control in copper and cobalt products [9] Summary by Sections Production and Sales Performance - In 2024, the company produced 650,200 tons of copper, a year-on-year increase of 54.97%, and sold 689,500 tons, up 66.28% [6] - Cobalt production reached 114,200 tons, a 105.61% increase, with sales soaring by 266.23% to 108,900 tons [6] - Other products include molybdenum production of 15,400 tons (down 1.53%) and tungsten production of 8,288 tons (up 3.92%) [6] Cost Control and Pricing - The average international copper price in 2024 was 11.26 per pound [7] - The company successfully reduced copper sales costs to 30,200 yuan per ton from 34,500 yuan per ton in 2023, and cobalt sales costs dropped from 72,200 yuan per ton to 52,700 yuan per ton [7] Project Developments - The KFM and TFM projects in the Democratic Republic of Congo have reached full production capacity, with TFM achieving an annual capacity of 450,000 tons of copper and 37,000 tons of cobalt [8] - The company is preparing for further expansion, with successful deep exploration results and a signed agreement for a 200 MW hydropower project [8] Profit Forecasts - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 220.77 billion yuan, 230.53 billion yuan, and 238.74 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 14.85 billion yuan, 15.94 billion yuan, and 16.73 billion yuan [11][12] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 11.6, 10.8, and 10.3 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [9][11]