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新天绿色能源(00956)2024年年报点评:现金股息保持稳定,业绩成长弹性可期

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1][8]. Core Views - The company's 4Q24 performance met expectations, with stable dividend amounts. The report anticipates growth potential for 2025 [3][8]. - The company reported a revenue of 21.372 billion RMB for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.4%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.9 billion RMB, a decrease of 24.2% year-on-year [8]. - The average net electricity price for 2024 was 0.43 RMB per kWh, showing a slight decrease of 0.01 RMB per kWh compared to the previous year [8]. Financial Summary - Revenue and profit figures for the company from 2021 to 2027 are as follows: - Revenue: 15,985 million RMB (2021), 18,561 million RMB (2022), 20,282 million RMB (2023), 21,372 million RMB (2024), with estimates of 26,662 million RMB (2025E), 29,684 million RMB (2026E), and 30,341 million RMB (2027E) [7]. - Net Profit: 2,712 million RMB (2021), 2,819 million RMB (2022), 2,734 million RMB (2023), 1,900 million RMB (2024), with estimates of 3,150 million RMB (2025E), 3,429 million RMB (2026E), and 3,656 million RMB (2027E) [7]. - The company’s PE ratio for 2024 is 8.96, with projections of 5.41 (2025E), 4.97 (2026E), and 4.66 (2027E) [7]. Operational Insights - The company’s wind power capacity reached 6.6 GW by the end of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 4.7%. In February 2025, the electricity generation was 1.42 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 35.2% [8]. - The report suggests that the company’s performance in 2025 is expected to improve due to the resolution of weather-related disruptions and the ramp-up of LNG terminal capacity [8].