三花智控（002050）：Q4冷配、汽零业务快速增长

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 35.16 CNY for the next six months [4]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 27.95 billion CNY for 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 13.8%, and a net profit of 3.10 billion CNY, up 6.1% YoY. In Q4 alone, the revenue reached 7.38 billion CNY, marking a significant 32.3% increase YoY, with a net profit of 800 million CNY, up 4.7% YoY [1][2]. - The growth in revenue is attributed to the "old-for-new" policy stimulating demand in the domestic air conditioning and new energy vehicle markets, leading to rapid growth in the company's cooling and automotive parts businesses [1][2]. - The company is a leader in the global refrigeration control components and new energy vehicle thermal management systems, with expectations for rapid revenue growth in strategic emerging businesses such as robotics and energy storage [3]. Financial Performance Summary - The company achieved a revenue of 27.95 billion CNY in 2024, with a projected revenue of 31.77 billion CNY in 2025, 36.39 billion CNY in 2026, and 43.00 billion CNY in 2027 [3][12]. - The net profit for 2024 was 3.10 billion CNY, with forecasts of 3.75 billion CNY in 2025, 4.47 billion CNY in 2026, and 5.51 billion CNY in 2027 [3][12]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.00 CNY in 2025, 1.20 CNY in 2026, and 1.48 CNY in 2027, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 35x for 2025 [3][12]. Business Segment Performance - The cooling parts segment saw a revenue increase of approximately 28% in Q4, driven by the "old-for-new" policy and increased demand from emerging markets [1]. - The automotive parts segment experienced a remarkable growth of about 38% in Q4, supported by purchase subsidies and the rapid expansion of the domestic market [2]. - The company is recognized as a leading player in the thermal management of new energy vehicles, with ongoing research and development aimed at enhancing customer value [2].