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三生制药:港股公司首次覆盖报告:核心品种持续发力,多款创新药进入收获期-20250327
015303SBIO(01530) 开源证券·2025-03-27 14:23

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [6]. Core Insights - The company has over 40 listed products across various therapeutic areas, with core products like TPIAO and Mandi series expected to maintain steady growth. The research pipeline is rich, with several innovative drugs entering harvest periods, particularly SSGJ707 showing promising early clinical results [6][13]. - The company is well-positioned in the market with a diversified business layout and mature commercialization capabilities, driving stable growth of core products [7]. - Financial projections indicate a net profit of 2.33 billion, 2.61 billion, and 2.94 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.97, 1.09, and 1.23 CNY, suggesting a favorable valuation [9]. Summary by Sections 1. Core Products and Innovation Pipeline - The company has a strong focus on innovative drug development, with SSGJ707 (a PD-1/VEGF dual antibody) showing excellent early clinical data and potential for significant market impact [8][24]. - TPIAO, the company's flagship product, is the only commercialized rhTPO globally, with plans to expand its indications, including a recent approval for pediatric ITP [28][34]. 2. Financial Performance and Projections - The company reported a revenue of 9.11 billion CNY in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.5%. The net profit for the same year was approximately 2.09 billion CNY [9][21]. - The gross margin has been stable, with an increase from 80.98% in 2020 to 85.94% in 2024, indicating effective cost management [21]. 3. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - TPIAO has a market share of 66.6% in 2024, benefiting from its safety and efficacy profile, which allows it to replace traditional therapies [40][41]. - The company is actively collaborating with various pharmaceutical firms to enhance its product offerings and market reach, particularly in the oncology and hematology sectors [7][8]. 4. Research and Development Focus - The company has a comprehensive pipeline with 30 products under development, focusing on hematology, oncology, and autoimmune diseases, with several nearing NDA submission [25][24]. - The R&D expenses for 2024 were approximately 1.33 billion CNY, reflecting a commitment to innovation and development of high-value products [21].