APELOA(000739) 华福证券·2025-03-27 15:00Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% against the market benchmark within the next six months [7][20]. Core Views - The company experienced short-term fluctuations in its performance for 2024, with a revenue of 12.022 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 4.8%, and a net profit of 1.031 billion yuan, down 2.3% year-on-year. The operating cash flow showed strong performance, reaching 1.21 billion yuan, an increase of 17.2% [3][5][4]. - The CDMO (Contract Development and Manufacturing Organization) business is expected to see significant growth, with a project count increasing by 77% year-on-year, indicating a robust pipeline for future revenue [6][7]. - The antibiotic API and formulation sales are under short-term pressure, but the raw material and formulation business is projected to have a "front low and back high" trend in 2025, with improved profitability expected as the product matrix expands [6][7]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 12.022 billion yuan, with a breakdown showing raw material drug revenue at 8.65 billion yuan (+8.3%), formulation revenue at 1.26 billion yuan (+0.5%), and CDMO revenue at 1.88 billion yuan (-6.1%). The overall gross margin for formulations improved to 60.8% (+7.7 percentage points) [5][6]. - The net profit forecast for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 1.15 billion yuan, 1.33 billion yuan, and 1.56 billion yuan, with growth rates of 12%, 15%, and 17% respectively [7][8]. - The company’s financial ratios indicate a stable outlook, with a projected P/E ratio decreasing from 17.4 in 2024 to 11.5 in 2027, reflecting anticipated growth in earnings [8][14].