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常熟银行:息差显韧性,资产质量保持优异-20250328

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Changshu Bank (601128.SH), expecting the stock to outperform the market by over 20% within the next six months [12]. Core Insights - Changshu Bank reported a total operating income of 10.9 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 3.81 billion yuan, up 16.2% year-on-year, with an annualized ROE of 14.15% [4][7]. - The bank's total assets at the end of 2024 were 366.6 billion yuan, a 9.6% increase from the beginning of the year. The loan portfolio grew to 240.9 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.3% year-on-year increase, while total deposits rose to 286.5 billion yuan, marking a 15.6% increase [4][7]. - The bank's net interest margin for 2024 was 2.71%, showing resilience despite a slight decline. The report highlights the bank's strong performance in microfinance and stable growth in its subsidiary, Xingfu Village Bank [7][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Operating income for 2024 was 10.9 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 10.5% [4][6]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.81 billion yuan, reflecting a 16.2% increase year-on-year [4][6]. - The annualized ROE was reported at 14.15% [4]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 0.77% at the end of 2024, with a projected annualized NPL generation rate of 1.37% [8][10]. - The bank's provision coverage ratio was 501%, indicating a strong capacity to absorb potential losses [8][10]. Growth Projections - The report projects operating income to reach 11.7 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 7.2% [10]. - Net profit is expected to grow to 4.4 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 15.3% [10][11]. - The bank's loan portfolio is projected to grow to 261.1 billion yuan by 2025, reflecting an 8% growth rate [10].