CNOOC(SH:600938) HTSC·2025-03-28 06:54Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company A/H shares [5][8]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 420.5 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 137.9 billion RMB, up 11% year-on-year [1]. - The company has demonstrated strong performance in reserve additions and production growth, alongside effective cost reduction measures [2]. - The report anticipates a decline in oil prices for 2025-2026, adjusting profit forecasts downward but still projecting growth in net profit [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 94.5 billion RMB, a decrease of 14% quarter-on-quarter, and a net profit of 21.3 billion RMB, down 19% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The average Brent price in 2024 was 79.9 USD per barrel, a decrease of 2.8% year-on-year, while the company's realized oil price was 76.8 USD per barrel, down 1.6% year-on-year [2]. Production and Cost Efficiency - The company's net oil and gas production reached 726.8 million barrels of oil equivalent in 2024, an increase of 7.2% year-on-year [2]. - The company achieved a barrel of oil cost of 28.52 USD, a decrease of 1.1% year-on-year, with a gross margin increase of 3.7 percentage points to 53.6% [2]. Capital Expenditure and Future Projects - The company invested 132.5 billion RMB in capital expenditures in 2024, a 2.2% increase year-on-year, supporting future production and efficiency improvements [4]. - The company made 11 new discoveries and evaluated 30 oil and gas structures, with key projects like the Bohai Zhong 19-2 oil field and deep-sea gas development coming online [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report projects net profits of 142.5 billion RMB for 2025, down from previous estimates due to anticipated lower oil prices [5]. - The target prices for A/H shares are set at 37.50 RMB and 27.72 HKD, respectively, based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.5x for 2025 [5].