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水井坊(600779):跟踪报告:战略重塑,蓝图展开

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 64 yuan [1][5] Core Insights - The company is undergoing a strategic transformation, focusing on product upgrades and market segmentation to achieve a leap in development over the next three to five years [5] - The introduction of the new high-end brand "Diyifang" aims to enhance brand positioning and capture market demand, particularly in group purchasing channels [5] - The company plans to refine its market strategy by categorizing cities into fortress, pioneer, and potential markets, allowing for tailored operational strategies [5] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 4,953 million yuan in 2023 to 6,238 million yuan in 2026, with a CAGR of 14.3% in 2026 [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 1,269 million yuan in 2023 to 1,682 million yuan in 2026, reflecting a CAGR of 17.7% [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 2.60 yuan in 2023 to 3.45 yuan in 2026 [1] Market Positioning - The company is focusing on high-end product launches and enhancing its brand image through the "Diyifang" and "Shuijingfang" brands, with a clear strategy to differentiate products based on quality and pricing [5] - The company has a robust channel quality compared to competitors, with inventory levels maintained at a healthy 2-2.5 months [5]