CRRC(601766) 国金证券·2025-03-29 11:42Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, projecting revenue growth and profit increases over the next few years [4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 246.46 billion yuan for the year 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of 5.21%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 12.39 billion yuan, up 5.77% year-on-year [1]. - The railway equipment business is expected to benefit from increased demand, with a projected revenue of 110.46 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 12.50% increase, particularly driven by a 49.3% growth in the high-speed train segment [2]. - The company anticipates continued growth in maintenance and repair services for high-speed trains, with a revenue increase of 25.2% in 2024, and a rising share of maintenance revenue from 34.0% in 2023 to 37.8% in 2024 [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 93.87 billion yuan, a 2.9% increase year-on-year, but the net profit decreased by 7.51% to 5.14 billion yuan [1]. - The projected revenues for 2025 to 2027 are 266.71 billion yuan, 287.11 billion yuan, and 308.36 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 13.48 billion yuan, 14.67 billion yuan, and 15.94 billion yuan [4][6]. Market Outlook - The National Railway Group has set ambitious targets for 2025, including a passenger volume of 4.28 billion, a 4.9% increase, and infrastructure investments of 590 billion yuan, which are expected to drive demand for railway equipment [2]. - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the policy encouraging the replacement of old diesel locomotives, which is expected to enhance revenue from railway equipment [3]. Valuation Metrics - The projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the company are 16X for 2025, 14X for 2026, and 13X for 2027, indicating a favorable valuation trend [4].