福莱特（601865）：Q4净利润转亏，光伏玻璃或阶段性底部拐头

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 18.7 billion CNY and a net profit of 1.01 billion CNY for FY 2024, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 13% and 63.5% respectively. The Q4 results showed a revenue of 4.08 billion CNY, down 27.7% year-over-year, and a net loss of 290 million CNY [1][2]. - The price of photovoltaic glass has significantly decreased, with a year-over-year revenue drop of 14.5% to 16.8 billion CNY. The average selling price for photovoltaic glass was 13.3 CNY per square meter, down 17.6% year-over-year [2]. - The company has increased its production capacity with the addition of two new production lines, bringing the total daily melting capacity to 19,400 tons. The total production of photovoltaic glass for the year was 1.29 billion square meters, a 6% increase year-over-year [4][2]. - The gross margin for photovoltaic glass was reported at 15.6%, a decline of 6.8 percentage points year-over-year. The estimated net profit per square meter of photovoltaic glass is approximately 0.74 CNY [2][4]. - The company is facing challenges from the real estate sector, with revenues from engineering, float, and home glass declining by 13.8%, 17.4%, and 6% respectively. The gross margin for engineering glass remains negative [3]. Financial Data Summary - The company’s projected revenues for the next few years are as follows: 21.52 billion CNY in 2023, 18.68 billion CNY in 2024, and 17.94 billion CNY in 2025, with a growth rate of -13.20% in 2024 [10]. - The net profit is expected to decline to 1.01 billion CNY in 2024, with a significant recovery projected in 2025 at 1.74 billion CNY [10]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.43 CNY in 2024, with an increase to 0.74 CNY in 2025 [10]. - The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a debt-to-asset ratio of 49.24% and a total asset value of approximately 42.92 billion CNY [11].