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兖矿能源(600188):煤炭主业增量扩能稳业绩,多元布局提质增效启新程

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4] Core Views - The company's coal business is expanding, with a focus on cost reduction and efficiency improvement. In 2024, coal production reached 142 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 7.86%, while coal sales were 136 million tons, up 7.31% [4] - The company aims to increase its coal production to 155-160 million tons in 2025, targeting an increase of over 13 million tons year-on-year [4] - The chemical segment is also expected to enhance profitability, with a production of 8.7 million tons in 2024, a slight increase of 1.3% year-on-year [4] - The company is focusing on internal and external growth, with significant projects underway to enhance coal and chemical production capacities [5] - The company emphasizes shareholder returns, with a proposed total dividend of 0.77 CNY per share for 2024, representing 53.59% of net profit under Chinese accounting standards [5] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 139.12 billion CNY, a decrease of 7.27% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 14.43 billion CNY, down 28.37% [1][2] - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 35.8%, with a return on equity (ROE) of 17.5% [6] - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 14.5 billion CNY, 15.1 billion CNY, and 16.5 billion CNY, respectively, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 1.44 CNY, 1.51 CNY, and 1.65 CNY [6]