MCC(SH:601618) Tianfeng Securities·2025-03-30 05:21Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [6]. Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline of 12.9% year-on-year in 2024, with total revenue reaching 552 billion. The net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 22.2% to 67.5 billion [1]. - The report emphasizes the potential for overseas growth and the revaluation of mineral resources, particularly in projects located in Papua New Guinea and Pakistan, which show significant profit contributions [2][3]. - The company aims for high-quality development, with a focus on increasing overseas contracts, which saw a 46.94% year-on-year growth in 2024 [3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a net profit margin of 1.43%, down 0.37 percentage points year-on-year, while the gross margin remained stable at 9.7% [4]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 11.6 billion, representing a payout ratio of 17.2% and a dividend yield of 2% [1]. - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 71 billion, 76 billion, and 81 billion, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 9, 8.5, and 7.9 [1]. Business Segmentation - The company's revenue from engineering contracting, specialty businesses, and comprehensive real estate was 501.5 billion, 38.2 billion, and 18.8 billion, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -14.35%, -1.63%, and +13.52% [2]. - Domestic revenue decreased by 13.77% to 523.9 billion, while overseas revenue increased by 6.77% to 28.1 billion [2]. Cash Flow and Valuation - The company reported a net cash inflow from operating activities of 7.848 billion in 2024, an increase of 19.6% year-on-year [4]. - The company's asset-liability ratio stood at 77.43%, an increase of 2.83 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - The projected earnings per share for 2025 is 0.34, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.09 [5].