Midea Group(SZ:000333) Guotou Securities·2025-03-30 07:10Investment Rating - The investment rating for Midea Group is "Buy-A" with a 6-month target price of 90.40 CNY, compared to the current stock price of 76.87 CNY [6]. Core Views - Midea Group reported a revenue of 409.08 billion CNY for 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 9.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 38.54 billion CNY, up 14.3% year-over-year [2]. - The company maintains a high-quality balance sheet, which positions it well to navigate external challenges in 2025 while continuing to achieve steady growth [2]. - Midea's overseas sales grew at a robust pace, with a year-over-year increase of 10.8% in the second half of 2024, while domestic sales benefited from national subsidies, showing a growth of 6.9% [3]. - The company is expected to enhance its overseas OBM business investments, leading to sustained growth in international revenue [3]. - Midea's Q4 2024 net profit margin increased by 0.3 percentage points year-over-year, driven by significant investment-related income [4]. - The company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of 60.51 billion CNY for 2024, which is 1.6 times its net profit attributable to shareholders [5]. Financial Summary - Midea's 2024 revenue is projected to reach 409.08 billion CNY, with net profit expected to be 38.54 billion CNY, and earnings per share (EPS) forecasted at 5.03 CNY [12]. - The company anticipates a revenue growth rate of 8.7% for 2025, with net profit growth of 11.5% [17]. - The net profit margin is expected to improve gradually, reaching 10.2% by 2027 [12]. - Midea's total assets are projected to be 577.25 billion CNY in 2025, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 134.8% [17]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 35 CNY per 10 shares for 2024, which represents 69.3% of its net profit [5].