Nanhua Futures(603093) 太平洋证券·2025-03-30 08:11Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Nanhua Futures (603093) with a target price based on the last closing price of 12.88 [1] Core Views - Nanhua Futures demonstrated differentiated development capabilities, with a reported operating income of 1.324 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.60%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 458 million yuan, up 13.96% year-on-year [4][6] - The company is expected to benefit from a high interest rate environment abroad, with net interest income increasing by 25.01% to 682 million yuan, driven primarily by overseas operations [6][7] - The company plans to issue H shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its capital strength and expand its overseas business [6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the reporting period, Nanhua Futures achieved an operating income of 1.324 billion yuan and a net profit of 458 million yuan, with a weighted average ROE of 11.71%, an increase of 0.25 percentage points year-on-year [4][5] - The company’s domestic futures brokerage business client equity reached 31.561 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 48.54%, although net income from brokerage fees decreased by 11.33% to 446 million yuan due to increased competition [5] - The wealth management business saw a significant decline, with the management scale of Nanhua Fund down 29.87% to 14.805 billion yuan [5] Business Segments - The overseas business showed strong performance, with net income from overseas operations increasing by 15.32% to 654 million yuan, supported by a favorable high-interest environment [6] - The risk management business faced challenges, with basis trading revenue down 9.17% and off-exchange derivatives business nominal principal decreasing by 18.60% [5] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 5.960 billion yuan, 6.271 billion yuan, and 6.643 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 552 million yuan, 614 million yuan, and 666 million yuan [7][8] - The estimated EPS for the same period is projected to be 0.90 yuan, 1.01 yuan, and 1.09 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 14.24, 12.80, and 11.81 [7][8]