Seazen(SH:601155) Huachuang Securities·2025-03-31 01:14Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, with a target price of 17 yuan for 2025 [2][8]. Core Insights - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 88.999 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 25.32%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 752 million yuan, an increase of 2.07% year-on-year [2][4]. - The commercial management profit contribution is gradually increasing, while the development segment continues to face pressure [2][8]. - The company’s residential development revenue is projected to be 76 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for 85% of total revenue, while commercial management revenue is expected to be 12 billion yuan, contributing approximately 14% [8]. Financial Summary - The company’s financial indicators for 2024A include: - Total revenue: 88,999 million yuan - Year-on-year growth rate: -25.3% - Net profit attributable to the parent: 752 million yuan - Year-on-year growth rate: 2.1% - Earnings per share: 0.33 yuan - Price-to-earnings ratio: 39 times [4][5]. - The company’s total assets are projected to be 307.193 billion yuan in 2024, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 83.7% [9]. Market Performance - The company’s commercial operations are expected to see a total revenue growth of 13% in 2024, with a rental rate of 97.97% for its properties [8]. - The company has established a significant presence with 200 "Wuyue Plaza" locations across 136 cities, with 173 currently operational [8]. Future Outlook - The report suggests that the company is likely to achieve a "dual-wheel drive" model of residential and commercial operations as it adjusts its residential development strategy [8]. - The estimated earnings per share for 2025-2027 are projected to be 0.25, 0.32, and 0.36 yuan respectively, reflecting a downward adjustment in profit forecasts due to reduced sales scale [8].