CHINA LONGYUAN(001289) 海通证券·2025-03-31 03:03Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2][7]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the wind power sector's performance is under pressure due to unfavorable wind conditions, while electricity prices have increased year-on-year [4][7]. - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 37,070 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 2.6%, while net profit is expected to be 6,345 million yuan, showing a slight increase of 0.7% [5][10]. - The report anticipates a recovery in performance from 2025 onwards, with projected net profits of 6,813 million yuan in 2025, 7,308 million yuan in 2026, and 7,855 million yuan in 2027, indicating a growth trend [5][10]. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company's operating revenue is forecasted to decline slightly in 2024 to 37,070 million yuan, followed by a gradual increase to 41,009 million yuan by 2027 [5][10]. - The net profit margin is expected to remain stable, with a net profit margin of 17.1% in 2024, increasing to 19.2% by 2027 [10]. - The report projects earnings per share (EPS) to be 0.76 yuan in 2024, increasing to 0.94 yuan by 2027, reflecting a positive growth trajectory [5][10]. Market Comparison and Valuation - The report compares the company's valuation with peers, suggesting a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 20-22 times for 2025, which translates to a reasonable value range of 16.4 to 18.04 yuan per share [7][10]. - The average PE ratio for comparable companies in 2025 is estimated at 13 times, indicating that the company is positioned for a premium valuation due to its leadership in green energy and expectations of asset injections [8][10].